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First League · Regular Season - 14

Ural 1–2 Nizhny Novgorod

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Central Stadium(Yekaterinburg), Yekaterinburg

Ural crestUralTeam 1592
1–2
Full time
HT 1–1
Nizhny Novgorod crestNizhny NovgorodTeam 1598

Match story

Ural · draw · Nizhny Novgorod

Before kick-off: 44% · 27% · 28%

Live chances: Ural 0%, draw 0%, Nizhny Novgorod 100% at 90+8'3' · 0–0 · Ural 44%, draw 27%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%4' · 0–0 · Ural 44%, draw 27%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%5' · 0–0 · Ural 44%, draw 28%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%6' · 0–0 · Ural 44%, draw 28%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%7' · 0–0 · Ural 44%, draw 28%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%8' · 0–0 · Ural 44%, draw 28%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%9' · 0–0 · Ural 44%, draw 28%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%10' · 0–0 · Ural 44%, draw 28%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%11' · 0–0 · Ural 43%, draw 28%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%12' · 0–0 · Ural 43%, draw 28%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%13' · 0–0 · Ural 43%, draw 29%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%14' · 0–0 · Ural 43%, draw 29%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%15' · 0–0 · Ural 43%, draw 29%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%16' · 0–0 · Ural 43%, draw 29%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%17' · 0–0 · Ural 43%, draw 29%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%18' · 1–0 · Ural 69%, draw 20%, Nizhny Novgorod 11%19' · 1–0 · Ural 69%, draw 20%, Nizhny Novgorod 11%20' · 1–0 · Ural 69%, draw 20%, Nizhny Novgorod 11%21' · 1–0 · Ural 69%, draw 20%, Nizhny Novgorod 11%22' · 1–0 · Ural 69%, draw 20%, Nizhny Novgorod 11%23' · 1–0 · Ural 69%, draw 20%, Nizhny Novgorod 11%24' · 1–0 · Ural 69%, draw 20%, Nizhny Novgorod 11%25' · 1–0 · Ural 70%, draw 20%, Nizhny Novgorod 10%26' · 1–1 · Ural 41%, draw 31%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%27' · 1–1 · Ural 41%, draw 31%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%28' · 1–1 · Ural 41%, draw 31%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%29' · 1–1 · Ural 41%, draw 31%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%30' · 1–1 · Ural 41%, draw 31%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%31' · 1–1 · Ural 41%, draw 32%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%32' · 1–1 · Ural 40%, draw 32%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%33' · 1–1 · Ural 40%, draw 32%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%34' · 1–1 · Ural 40%, draw 32%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%35' · 1–1 · Ural 40%, draw 32%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%36' · 1–1 · Ural 40%, draw 33%, Nizhny Novgorod 28%37' · 1–1 · Ural 40%, draw 33%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%38' · 1–1 · Ural 39%, draw 33%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%39' · 1–1 · Ural 39%, draw 33%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%40' · 1–1 · Ural 39%, draw 34%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%41' · 1–1 · Ural 39%, draw 34%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%42' · 1–1 · Ural 39%, draw 34%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%43' · 1–1 · Ural 38%, draw 35%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%44' · 1–1 · Ural 38%, draw 35%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%45' · 1–1 · Ural 38%, draw 35%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%45+1' · 1–1 · Ural 38%, draw 36%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%45+2' · 1–1 · Ural 37%, draw 36%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%HT · 1–1 · Ural 37%, draw 36%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%47' · 1–1 · Ural 37%, draw 37%, Nizhny Novgorod 26%48' · 1–1 · Ural 37%, draw 37%, Nizhny Novgorod 26%49' · 1–1 · Ural 36%, draw 38%, Nizhny Novgorod 26%50' · 1–1 · Ural 36%, draw 38%, Nizhny Novgorod 26%52' · 1–1 · Ural 35%, draw 39%, Nizhny Novgorod 26%53' · 1–1 · Ural 35%, draw 39%, Nizhny Novgorod 26%54' · 1–1 · Ural 35%, draw 40%, Nizhny Novgorod 25%55' · 1–1 · Ural 34%, draw 41%, Nizhny Novgorod 25%56' · 1–1 · Ural 34%, draw 41%, Nizhny Novgorod 25%57' · 1–1 · Ural 33%, draw 42%, Nizhny Novgorod 25%58' · 1–1 · Ural 33%, draw 42%, Nizhny Novgorod 25%59' · 1–1 · Ural 33%, draw 43%, Nizhny Novgorod 24%60' · 1–1 · Ural 32%, draw 44%, Nizhny Novgorod 24%61' · 1–1 · Ural 32%, draw 44%, Nizhny Novgorod 24%62' · 1–1 · Ural 31%, draw 45%, Nizhny Novgorod 24%63' · 1–1 · Ural 31%, draw 46%, Nizhny Novgorod 23%64' · 1–1 · Ural 31%, draw 46%, Nizhny Novgorod 23%65' · 1–1 · Ural 30%, draw 47%, Nizhny Novgorod 23%66' · 1–1 · Ural 30%, draw 48%, Nizhny Novgorod 22%67' · 1–1 · Ural 29%, draw 49%, Nizhny Novgorod 22%68' · 1–1 · Ural 29%, draw 50%, Nizhny Novgorod 22%69' · 1–1 · Ural 28%, draw 50%, Nizhny Novgorod 22%70' · 1–1 · Ural 28%, draw 51%, Nizhny Novgorod 21%71' · 1–1 · Ural 27%, draw 52%, Nizhny Novgorod 21%72' · 1–1 · Ural 26%, draw 53%, Nizhny Novgorod 20%74' · 1–1 · Ural 25%, draw 55%, Nizhny Novgorod 20%75' · 1–1 · Ural 25%, draw 56%, Nizhny Novgorod 19%76' · 1–1 · Ural 24%, draw 57%, Nizhny Novgorod 19%77' · 1–1 · Ural 23%, draw 59%, Nizhny Novgorod 18%79' · 1–1 · Ural 22%, draw 61%, Nizhny Novgorod 17%80' · 1–1 · Ural 21%, draw 63%, Nizhny Novgorod 17%81' · 1–1 · Ural 20%, draw 64%, Nizhny Novgorod 16%82' · 1–1 · Ural 13%, draw 65%, Nizhny Novgorod 22%83' · 1–2 · Ural 1%, draw 13%, Nizhny Novgorod 86%84' · 1–2 · Ural 1%, draw 12%, Nizhny Novgorod 86%85' · 1–2 · Ural 1%, draw 12%, Nizhny Novgorod 87%86' · 1–2 · Ural 1%, draw 11%, Nizhny Novgorod 88%87' · 1–2 · Ural 1%, draw 10%, Nizhny Novgorod 89%89' · 1–2 · Ural 1%, draw 9%, Nizhny Novgorod 91%90+1' · 1–2 · Ural 0%, draw 7%, Nizhny Novgorod 93%90+2' · 1–2 · Ural 0%, draw 6%, Nizhny Novgorod 94%90+3' · 1–2 · Ural 0%, draw 5%, Nizhny Novgorod 95%90+4' · 1–2 · Ural 0%, draw 4%, Nizhny Novgorod 96%90+5' · 1–2 · Ural 0%, draw 2%, Nizhny Novgorod 98%90+6' · 1–2 · Ural 0%, draw 1%, Nizhny Novgorod 99%90+7' · 1–2 · Ural 0%, draw 0%, Nizhny Novgorod 100%90+8' · 1–2 · Ural 0%, draw 0%, Nizhny Novgorod 100%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Ural 44% to win: Nizhny Novgorod won.

  1. 3'Nizhny Novgorod:Yuriy Koledin 1668 +19
  2. 8'Nizhny Novgorod:Nikita Kakkoev 1712 +15
  3. 17'Ural:Martin Sekulic 1658 −9
  4. 24'Nizhny Novgorod:Vyacheslav Grulev 1722 +14
  5. 31'Nizhny Novgorod:Nikolay Kalinskiy 1596 +21
  6. 43'Ural:Evgeniy Kharin 1535 −11*
  7. 46'Nizhny Novgorod:Artem Sokolov 1615 +16*
  8. 60'Nizhny Novgorod:Vladislav Sarveli 1637 for Ivan Bober 1502 +35
  9. 63'Ural:Vladislav Karapuzov 1567 −1
  10. 68'Nizhny Novgorod:Timofey Komissarov 1526 for Gleb Popolitov 1628 +23
  11. 68'Nizhny Novgorod:Gleb Shilnikov 1610 for Yuriy Koledin 1668 +19
  12. 69'Ural:Nikita morozov 1083 for Vladislav Karapuzov 1567 −1
  13. 69'Ural:Dmitriy Prishchepa 1524 for Evgeniy Kharin 1535 −11*
  14. 80'Ural:Silvije Begić 1610 −9
  15. 82'Nizhny Novgorod:Gleb Shilnikov 1610
  16. 83'Ural:Vitaliy Stezhko 1597 for Léo Cordeiro 1629 −17*
  17. 86'Ural:Maksim Kaynov 1618 for Vitaliy Bondarev 1593 −11*
  18. 86'Ural:Bertrand Fourrier 1560 for Dmitriy Tikhiy 1512 −5
  19. 87'Ural:
  20. 88'Ural:Vitaliy Stezhko 1597
  21. 89'Nizhny Novgorod:Mamadou Maiga 1554 for Artem Sokolov 1615 +16*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

DS. Begić1610−9
GA. Selikhov1704−14
MF. Sungatulin1683−11
FM. Sekulić1658−9
MLéo Cordeiro1629−17*
ME. Kharin1535−11*
MV. Karapuzov1567−1
DÍtalo1671−10
FI. Ishkov1675−10
MVitaliy Bondarev1593−11*
DD. Tikhiy1512−5
CS. Yuran1619−5
DV. Aleksandrov1693+17
FI. Bober1502+35
MN. Ermakov1578+20*
FV. Grulev1722+14
DY. Gudkov1635+22
MN. Kakkoev1712+15
MN. Kalinskiy1596+21
DY. Koledin1668+19
FG. Popolitov1628+23
MA. Sokolov1615+16*
GN. Medvedev1742+12
CVadim Garanin1672+19
Before kick-off: 44% · 27% · 28%(Ural · draw · Nizhny Novgorod)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Ural €532K, Nizhny Novgorod €564K.
  • First League: V. Grulev was the highest-rated forward (1708).
  • Nizhny Novgorod were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Ural

6th in First League · 25 pts from 13

  • 10 OctLVeles 1646
  • 26 SepWSpartak Kostroma 1625
  • 18 SepWFK Neftekhimik 1614
  • 14 SepDShinnik Yaroslavl 1642
  • 6 SepWKAMAZ 1632

Nizhny Novgorod

1st in First League · 34 pts from 13

  • 10 OctWEnisey 1600
  • 17 SepWLeningradets 1599
  • 13 SepWTorpedo Moskva 1581
  • 30 AugDVolga Ulyanovsk 1600
  • 24 AugWSka-khabarovsk 1582

Season outlook

From the First League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Ural25 /1360.39%74%0%4th
Nizhny Novgorod34 /1369.161%98%0%1st
Ural
Nizhny Novgorod

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: First League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Kalinskiy
N. Kalinskiy

Nizhny Novgorod · -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1575

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Sergey Yuran

Coach DNA: direct · low-volume

Vadim Garanin

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Ural: direct (how Sergey Yuran plays) · Nizhny Novgorod: direct (how Vadim Garanin plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.