First League · Regular Season - 19
Ural vs Arsenal Tula
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Ural host Arsenal Tula on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ural 63%, draw 22%, Arsenal Tula 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ural €543K, Arsenal Tula €222K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ural goals first.
- 1–012%
- 2–012%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 0–07%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Ural 1639 · Arsenal Tula 1415
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ural
2nd in First League · 34 pts from 17
- 8 NovWVolga Ulyanovsk Russia First League1635
- 1 NovWFC Sochi Russia First League1575
- 25 OctWChelyabinsk Russia First League1608
- 18 OctLNizhny Novgorod Russia First League1617
- 10 OctLVeles Russia First League1636
Arsenal Tula
12th in First League · 19 pts from 17
- 7 NovLChelyabinsk Russia First League1398
- 30 OctLNizhny Novgorod Russia First League1425
- 24 OctWKAMAZ Russia First League1398
- 17 OctLFC UFA Russia First League1389
- 9 OctWSpartak Kostroma Russia First League1380
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ural | 34 /17 | 63.4 | 4% | 94% | 0% | 2nd |
| Arsenal Tula | 19 /17 | 39.7 | 0% | <1% | 14% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: low-volume