Liga I · Regular Season - 14
Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Universitatea Craiova host FC Botosani on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Universitatea Craiova 71%, draw 18%, FC Botosani 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Universitatea Craiova €1.6M, FC Botosani €345K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Liga I matchday 14: 363 points.
- Draw chance 18%, below the Liga I average of 27% this round.
- Liga I: L. Popescu is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1942).
- Style contrast in possession (Liga I): Universitatea Craiova rank #3 of 18, FC Botosani #16.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Universitatea Craiova goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–18%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Universitatea Craiova 1842 · FC Botosani 1479
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Universitatea Craiova · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1921
FC Botosani · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1511
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Universitatea Craiova
3rd in Liga I · 26 pts from 12
- 18 OctWFarul Constanta Liga I1755
- 15 OctDGetafe UEFA Conference League1843
- 11 OctWCsikszereda Liga I1853
- 19 SepWFCSB Liga I1814
- 13 SepWCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1805
FC Botosani
11th in Liga I · 14 pts from 12
- 16 OctLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1491
- 10 OctWUta Arad Liga I1470
- 19 SepLCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1436
- 13 SepDArges Pitesti Liga I1483
- 5 SepWSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1439
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova | 26 /12 | 63.0 | 53% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| FC Botosani | 14 /12 | 34.0 | 0% | 1% | 25% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Universitatea Craiova: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Filipe Amaral Rino Coelho plays) · FC Botosani: direct (how Marius Marian Croitoru plays)