Liga I · Regular Season - 12
Universitatea Craiova 2–0 Farul Constanta
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Universitatea CraiovaTeam 1776
Farul ConstantaTeam 1470Match story
Universitatea Craiova · draw · Farul ConstantaBefore kick-off: 65% · 22% · 13%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Simon Elisor 16'
- Oleksandr Romanchuk 87'
We gave Universitatea Craiova 65% to win: they did.
- Simon Elisor 1876 +21 assist David Matei 1778 +3616'
Universitatea Craiova:Simon Elisor 1876 +21 assist David Matei 1778 +36 - 45'Narek Grigoryan 1588 −4 for Gustavo Marins 1607 −12*
Farul Constanta:Narek Grigoryan 1588 −4 for Gustavo Marins 1607 −12* - 45'Alexandru Goncear 1288 −8* for Răzvan Marincean 1320 0
Farul Constanta:Alexandru Goncear 1288 −8* for Răzvan Marincean 1320 0 - 47'Ionuț Vână 1542 −8
Farul Constanta:Ionuț Vână 1542 −8 - Luca Băsceanu 1463 +1650'
Universitatea Craiova:Luca Băsceanu 1463 +16 - Nicușor Bancu 1829 −1 for Ronaldo Romario Webster 1670 +1056'
Universitatea Craiova:Nicușor Bancu 1829 −1 for Ronaldo Romario Webster 1670 +10 - Alexandru Cicâldău 1900 +6 for Samuel Teles 1730 +757'
Universitatea Craiova:Alexandru Cicâldău 1900 +6 for Samuel Teles 1730 +7 - Stefan Baiaram 1862 +9 for Luca Băsceanu 1463 +1657'
Universitatea Craiova:Stefan Baiaram 1862 +9 for Luca Băsceanu 1463 +16 - Vladimir Screciu 1921 +1 for Baptiste Roux 1627 +31*70'
Universitatea Craiova:Vladimir Screciu 1921 +1 for Baptiste Roux 1627 +31* - 74'Nicolas Popescu 1162 0 for Tony Njike 1502 −3
Farul Constanta:Nicolas Popescu 1162 0 for Tony Njike 1502 −3 - Assad Al-Hamlawi 1887 +3 for Simon Elisor 1876 +2176'
Universitatea Craiova:Assad Al-Hamlawi 1887 +3 for Simon Elisor 1876 +21 - 77'Valentin Constantin Ticu 1515 −8* for Ionuț Larie 1273 −14
Farul Constanta:Valentin Constantin Ticu 1515 −8* for Ionuț Larie 1273 −14 - Oleksandr Romanchuk 1963 +17 assist Alexandru Cicâldău 1900 +687'
Universitatea Craiova:Oleksandr Romanchuk 1963 +17 assist Alexandru Cicâldău 1900 +6 - Nikola Stevanović 1889 +890'
Universitatea Craiova:Nikola Stevanović 1889 +8 - 90+1'Nicolas Popescu 1162 0
Farul Constanta:Nicolas Popescu 1162 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 65% · 22% · 13%(Universitatea Craiova · draw · Farul Constanta)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (12%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Universitatea Craiova €1.2M, Farul Constanta €330K.
- Draw chance was 19%, below the Liga I average of 27% this round.
- Liga I: L. Popescu was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1923).
- Universitatea Craiova's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
- Universitatea Craiova were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Universitatea Craiova
3rd in Liga I · 23 pts from 11
- 15 OctDGetafe UEFA Conference League1843
- 11 OctWCsikszereda Liga I1853
- 19 SepWFCSB Liga I1814
- 13 SepWCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1805
- 7 SepWUniversitatea Cluj Liga I1782
Farul Constanta
6th in Liga I · 17 pts from 11
- 11 OctWPetrolul Ploiesti Liga I1432
- 20 SepLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1490
- 11 SepWUta Arad Liga I1418
- 4 SepDCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1449
- 30 AugDFC Botosani Liga I1481
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova | 23 /11 | 61.4 | 43% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| Farul Constanta | 17 /11 | 38.3 | 0% | 3% | 7% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Universitatea Craiova · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1974

Farul Constanta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1619
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Universitatea Craiova: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Filipe Coelho plays) · Farul Constanta: balanced profile (how Ioan Ovidiu Sabău plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.