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Primera División · Apertura - 21

Universitario de Vinto 1–3 Real Oruro

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Hipolito Lazarte, Cochabamba

Universitario de Vinto crestUniversitario de VintoTeam 1243
1–3
Full time
HT 0–2
Real Oruro crestReal OruroTeam 1216

Match story

Universitario de Vinto · draw · Real Oruro

Before kick-off: 47% · 22% · 31%

Live chances: Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 100% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Universitario de Vinto 47%, draw 22%, Real Oruro 31%2' · 0–1 · Universitario de Vinto 31%, draw 21%, Real Oruro 48%3' · 0–1 · Universitario de Vinto 31%, draw 21%, Real Oruro 48%4' · 0–1 · Universitario de Vinto 31%, draw 21%, Real Oruro 48%5' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 11%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 76%6' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 10%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 76%7' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 10%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 76%9' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 10%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 77%10' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 10%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 77%11' · 1–2 · Universitario de Vinto 29%, draw 22%, Real Oruro 49%12' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 10%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 77%13' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 9%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 77%14' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 9%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 78%16' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 9%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 78%17' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 9%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 78%18' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 9%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 78%19' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 9%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 79%20' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 8%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 79%21' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 8%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 79%22' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 8%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 79%23' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 8%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 79%24' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 8%, draw 13%, Real Oruro 80%25' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 8%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 80%26' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 8%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 80%27' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 7%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 80%28' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 7%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 81%29' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 7%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 81%30' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 7%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 81%31' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 7%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 81%32' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 7%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 81%33' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 6%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 82%34' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 6%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 82%35' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 6%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 82%36' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 6%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 82%37' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 6%, draw 12%, Real Oruro 83%39' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 6%, draw 11%, Real Oruro 83%40' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 5%, draw 11%, Real Oruro 83%42' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 5%, draw 11%, Real Oruro 84%43' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 5%, draw 11%, Real Oruro 84%44' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 5%, draw 11%, Real Oruro 84%45' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 5%, draw 11%, Real Oruro 85%45+1' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 5%, draw 11%, Real Oruro 85%45+2' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 85%45+3' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 86%45+4' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 86%45+5' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 86%HT · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 86%46' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 86%47' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 86%48' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 86%49' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 87%50' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 4%, draw 10%, Real Oruro 87%51' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 3%, draw 9%, Real Oruro 87%52' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 3%, draw 9%, Real Oruro 88%54' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 3%, draw 9%, Real Oruro 88%55' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 3%, draw 9%, Real Oruro 89%56' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 3%, draw 8%, Real Oruro 89%57' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 2%, draw 8%, Real Oruro 89%58' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 2%, draw 8%, Real Oruro 90%59' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 2%, draw 8%, Real Oruro 90%60' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 2%, draw 8%, Real Oruro 90%61' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 2%, draw 7%, Real Oruro 91%62' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 2%, draw 7%, Real Oruro 91%63' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 2%, draw 7%, Real Oruro 91%64' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 2%, draw 7%, Real Oruro 92%65' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 2%, draw 7%, Real Oruro 92%66' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 1%, draw 6%, Real Oruro 92%67' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 1%, draw 6%, Real Oruro 93%68' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 1%, draw 6%, Real Oruro 93%69' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 1%, draw 6%, Real Oruro 93%70' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 1%, draw 5%, Real Oruro 94%71' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 1%, draw 5%, Real Oruro 94%72' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 1%, draw 5%, Real Oruro 94%73' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 1%, draw 5%, Real Oruro 95%74' · 0–2 · Universitario de Vinto 1%, draw 4%, Real Oruro 95%75' · 0–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 1%, Real Oruro 99%76' · 0–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 1%, Real Oruro 99%77' · 0–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 99%78' · 0–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 100%79' · 0–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 100%80' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 3%, Real Oruro 97%81' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 3%, Real Oruro 97%82' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 2%, Real Oruro 97%83' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 2%, Real Oruro 98%84' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 2%, Real Oruro 98%85' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 2%, Real Oruro 98%86' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 2%, Real Oruro 98%87' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 1%, Real Oruro 99%88' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 1%, Real Oruro 99%89' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 1%, Real Oruro 99%90' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 1%, Real Oruro 99%90+1' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 1%, Real Oruro 99%90+2' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 100%90+3' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 100%90+4' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 100%90+5' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 100%90+6' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 100%90+7' · 1–3 · Universitario de Vinto 0%, draw 0%, Real Oruro 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Universitario de Vinto 47% to win: Real Oruro won.

  1. 1'Real Oruro:A. Bravo 1241 +35* assist F. Gatti 1378 +24*
  2. 4'Real Oruro:A. Bravo 1241 +35* assist Denis Pinto 1357 +34*
  3. 17'Universitario de Vinto:Joel Calicho 1323 −27*
  4. 17'Real Oruro:Reymar José Balceras Cuellar 1124 +12*
  5. 22'Universitario de Vinto:J. Careaga 969 −8*
  6. 33'Universitario de Vinto:Didi Torrico 1237 −20* for Brayan·Calderon 1067 −8*
  7. 39'Real Oruro:E. Rivera 1005 +23*
  8. 42'Real Oruro:Santos García Cuéllar 1140 +14* for Reymar José Balceras Cuellar 1124 +12*
  9. 50'Universitario de Vinto:Didi Torrico 1237 −20*
  10. 52'Real Oruro:F. Gatti 1378 +24* (penalty missed)
  11. 56'Universitario de Vinto:Rodrigo Andrés Llano Montes 1293 −13* for Guilder Cuellar 1413 −20*
  12. 56'Universitario de Vinto:Oswaldo Blanco 1268 −16* for H. Rodríguez 1403 −20*
  13. 62'Real Oruro:Juan Montenegro 1351 −5* for Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz 1127 +22*
  14. 62'Real Oruro:D. Castellón 1314 −4* for E. Rivera 1005 +23*
  15. 65'Real Oruro:Juan Montenegro 1351 −5*
  16. 68'Universitario de Vinto:Felipe Pasadore 1284 −8*
  17. 69'Universitario de Vinto:M. Gómez 1150 −9*
  18. 70'Real Oruro:Yerco·Vallejos 1272 +3* for A. Bravo 1241 +35*
  19. 70'Real Oruro:Juan Pablo Gómez Perez 1326 −4* for Hernán Tifner 1319 +4*
  20. 75'Real Oruro:Yerco·Vallejos 1272 +3*
  21. 76'Universitario de Vinto:Diego Jahdiel Saavedra Rocha 1091 −8* for Richard Dorrego 1285 −13*
  22. 76'Universitario de Vinto:Andrés Veizaga 1077 −10* for Felipe Pasadore 1284 −8*
  23. 79'Universitario de Vinto:Oswaldo Blanco 1268 −16* assist Andrés Veizaga 1077 −10*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GJ. Careaga969−8*
DE. Mendoza1296−8*
DB. Calderon1067−8*
DJ. Pinto1337−15*
DJulio Lazarte1168−8*
MH. Rodríguez1403−20*
MMarco Gomez1150−9*
MG. Cuellar1413−20*
MH. Dorrego1285−13*
MJ. Calicho1323−27*
FF. Pasadore1284−8*
CMarcelo Straccia1514
GI. Peña1341+44*
DF. Gatti1378+24*
DL. Corulo1312+42*
DE. Rivera1005+23*
DR. J. Balceras Cuellar1124+12*
MH. Tifner1319+4*
MA. Rivera1349+9*
MJ. Ari Cruz1127+22*
FAdán Alexis Félix Bravo1241+35*
FD. Pinto1357+34*
FY. Calle1152+33*
CRobledo Marcelo1282+39*
Before kick-off: 47% · 22% · 31%(Universitario de Vinto · draw · Real Oruro)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (9%); the result 1–3 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Universitario de Vinto €151K, Real Oruro €98K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Universitario de Vinto

14th in Primera División · 18 pts from 20

  • 17 SepDBlooming 1273
  • 13 SepWIndependiente Petrolero 1293
  • 4 SepLABB 1242
  • 25 AugWNacional Potosí 1253
  • 21 AugLThe Strongest 1240

Real Oruro

11th in Primera División · 21 pts from 20

  • 15 SepLReal Potosí 1258
  • 12 SepLThe Strongest 1275
  • 4 SepWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo 1252
  • 23 AugLBolívar 1214
  • 15 AugLOriente Petrolero 1291

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Universitario de Vinto18 /2020.90%0%40%14th
Real Oruro21 /2023.30%0%16%11th
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

H. Rodríguez
H. Rodríguez

Universitario de Vinto · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1423

L. Corulo
L. Corulo

Real Oruro · +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1270

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Marcelo Straccia

Coach DNA: –

Marcelo Robledo

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Universitario de Vinto: balanced profile (how Marcelo Straccia plays) · Real Oruro: direct (how Marcelo Robledo plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.