Primera División · Apertura - 26
Universitario de Vinto vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 21:15 UTC
Universitario de Vinto host Gualberto Villarroel SJ on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Universitario de Vinto 38%, draw 29%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Universitario de Vinto €134K, Gualberto Villarroel SJ €151K.
- Home advantage makes Universitario de Vinto the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Primera División): Universitario de Vinto rank #13 of 16, Gualberto Villarroel SJ #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Universitario de Vinto goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–18%
- 2–28%
- 1–28%
- 1–06%
- 0–16%
- Other scores51%
Team Elo: Universitario de Vinto 1290 · Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1335
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Universitario de Vinto · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1438
Gualberto Villarroel SJ · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.6 (Average) · Elo 1375
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Universitario de Vinto
14th in Primera División · 22 pts from 25
- 10 NovDAurora Bolivia Primera Division1289
- 1 NovLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1267
- 17 OctWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1256
- 10 OctLReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1274
- 17 SepDBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1269
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
15th in Primera División · 20 pts from 25
- 7 NovLReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1310
- 1 NovLThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1324
- 17 OctLReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1343
- 12 OctWGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1272
- 18 SepLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1261
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario de Vinto | 22 /25 | 25.5 | 0% | 0% | 71% | 14th |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 20 /25 | 23.8 | 0% | 0% | 86% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: aggressive · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Universitario de Vinto: balanced profile (how Thiago Leitão plays) · Gualberto Villarroel SJ: balanced profile (how J. Baldivieso plays)