Primera División · Regular Season - 27
Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Ester Roa, Concepcion
Universidad de Concepcion host O'Higgins on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Universidad de Concepcion 25%, draw 28%, O'Higgins 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Universidad de Concepcion €262K, O'Higgins €585K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Universidad de Concepcion goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Universidad de Concepcion 1509 · O'Higgins 1657
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Universidad de Concepcion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1267

O'Higgins · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1283
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Universidad de Concepcion
15th in Primera División · 23 pts from 24
- 10 OctDCobresal Chile Primera Division1493
- 2 OctLHuachipato Chile Primera Division1512
- 6 SepLPalestino Chile Primera Division1517
- 2 SepLCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1518
- 30 AugWUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1506
O'Higgins
13th in Primera División · 27 pts from 24
- 10 OctLHuachipato Chile Primera Division1643
- 13 SepLA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1668
- 6 SepWUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1638
- 1 SepLU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1606
- 23 AugLPalestino Chile Primera Division1693
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepcion | 23 /24 | 29.5 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 15th |
| O'Higgins | 27 /24 | 36.2 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Universidad de Concepcion: balanced profile (how Cristian Munoz plays) · O'Higgins: balanced profile (how L. Bovaglio plays)