Primera División · Regular Season - 28
Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Ester Roa
Universidad de Concepcion host Nublense on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Universidad de Concepcion 39%, draw 29%, Nublense 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Universidad de Concepcion €303K, Nublense €281K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Universidad de Concepcion goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Universidad de Concepcion 1498 · Nublense 1484
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Universidad de Concepcion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1560
Nublense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1554
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Universidad de Concepcion
15th in Primera División · 26 pts from 27
- 8 NovWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1429
- 30 OctLColo Colo Chile Primera Division1475
- 25 OctLDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1481
- 10 OctDCobresal Chile Primera Division1482
- 2 OctLHuachipato Chile Primera Division1502
Nublense
10th in Primera División · 35 pts from 27
- 8 NovLColo Colo Chile Primera Division1511
- 31 OctLO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1503
- 25 OctWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1484
- 12 OctLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1495
- 12 SepLEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1480
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepcion | 26 /27 | 29.6 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 15th |
| Nublense | 35 /27 | 38.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Universidad de Concepcion: balanced profile (how Cristian Munoz plays) · Nublense: balanced profile (how Jose Ribera Juan plays)