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Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Universidad de Chile 6–0 Nublense

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua

Universidad de Chile crestUniversidad de ChileTeam 1777
6–0
Full time
HT 2–0
Nublense crestNublenseTeam 1501

Match story

Universidad de Chile · draw · Nublense

Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%

Live chances: Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 63%, draw 22%, Nublense 15%3' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 63%, draw 22%, Nublense 15%4' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 63%, draw 22%, Nublense 15%5' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 63%, draw 23%, Nublense 15%6' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 62%, draw 23%, Nublense 15%7' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 62%, draw 23%, Nublense 15%8' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 62%, draw 23%, Nublense 15%9' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 62%, draw 23%, Nublense 15%10' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 61%, draw 23%, Nublense 15%11' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 61%, draw 24%, Nublense 15%12' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 61%, draw 24%, Nublense 15%13' · 0–0 · Universidad de Chile 61%, draw 24%, Nublense 15%14' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 84%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%15' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 84%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%16' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 84%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%17' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 84%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%18' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 84%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%19' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 84%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%20' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%21' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%22' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%23' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%24' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 12%, Nublense 4%25' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%26' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%27' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%28' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%29' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%30' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%31' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%32' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%33' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%34' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%35' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%36' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%37' · 1–0 · Universidad de Chile 83%, draw 13%, Nublense 4%38' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 1%39' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 1%40' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 1%41' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 0%42' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 0%43' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 0%44' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 0%45' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 0%45+1' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 0%45+1' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%45+2' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 0%45+3' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 97%, draw 3%, Nublense 0%45+4' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%45+5' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%HT · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%46' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%47' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%48' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%49' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%50' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%51' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%52' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%53' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%54' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%55' · 2–0 · Universidad de Chile 99%, draw 1%, Nublense 0%56' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%57' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%58' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%59' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%60' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%61' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%62' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%63' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%64' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%65' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%66' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%67' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%68' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%69' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%70' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%71' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%72' · 3–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%73' · 4–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%74' · 4–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%75' · 4–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%76' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%77' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%78' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%79' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%80' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%81' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%82' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%83' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%84' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%85' · 5–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%86' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%87' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%88' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%89' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%90' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%90+1' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%90+2' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%90+3' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%90+4' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%90+5' · 6–0 · Universidad de Chile 100%, draw 0%, Nublense 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Universidad de Chile 63% to win: they did.

  1. 13'Universidad de Chile:Maximiliano Guerrero 1891 +11* assist Agustín Arce 1782 +25*
  2. 18'Universidad de Chile:Tobías Reinhart 1715 +26*
  3. 37'Universidad de Chile:Maximiliano Guerrero 1891 +11* assist Ignacio Vásquez 1600 +25*
  4. 45'Nublense:Carlos Salomón 1426 −8* for Matías Plaza 1557 −15*
  5. 45'Nublense:Lucas Molina Canto 1504 −12* for Ignacio Jeraldino 1493 −14*
  6. 45+3'Nublense:Pablo Calderón 1523 −14*
  7. 55'Universidad de Chile:Agustín Arce 1782 +25* assist Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez 1900 +14*
  8. 57'Universidad de Chile:Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna 1499 +13* for Ignacio Vásquez 1600 +25*
  9. 57'Universidad de Chile:Fabián Hormazabal 1864 −1* for Nicolás Ramírez 1916 +3*
  10. 62'Nublense:Fernando Ovelar 1452 −8* for Esteban Calderón 1422 −8*
  11. 62'Nublense:Diego Céspedes 1553 −13* for Robinson Manuel Rivera Zúñiga 1551 −20*
  12. 72'Nublense:Franco Rami 1435 −8* for Gabriel Graciani 1516 −20*
  13. 73'Universidad de Chile:Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna 1499 +13* assist Agustín Arce 1782 +25*
  14. 75'Universidad de Chile:Eduardo Vargas 1756 +18* assist Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez 1900 +14*
  15. 77'Universidad de Chile:Israel Poblete 1762 −6* for Tobías Reinhart 1715 +26*
  16. 77'Universidad de Chile:Juan Martin Lucero 1560 −11* for Maximiliano Guerrero 1891 +11*
  17. 77'Universidad de Chile:Marcelo Díaz 1247 −10* for Charles Aránguiz 1720 +14*
  18. 86'Universidad de Chile:Fabián Hormazabal 1864 −1* assist Matias Zaldivia 1753 +20*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-3
GN. Pérez1491−20*
DF. Campos1466−17*
DP. Calderón1523−14*
DS. Valencia1398−8*
MG. Graciani1516−20*
ML. Reyes1483−23*
MM. Rivera1551−20*
MJ. Campusano1495−22*
FM. Plaza1557−15*
FI. Jeraldino1493−14*
FE. Calderón1422−8*
CJuan José Ribera1485−22*
Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%(Universidad de Chile · draw · Nublense)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 6–0 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Universidad de Chile €749K, Nublense €264K.
  • Primera División: G. Castellón was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1889).
  • Style contrast in attacking (Primera División): Universidad de Chile ranked #1 of 19, Nublense #17.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Universidad de Chile

3rd in Primera División · 42 pts from 23

  • 13 SepWD. La Serena 1711
  • 6 SepWCoquimbo Unido 1686
  • 30 AugLUniversidad de Concepcion 1754
  • 23 AugLColo Colo 1763
  • 15 AugWDeportes Limache 1758

Nublense

9th in Primera División · 32 pts from 23

  • 12 SepLEverton de Vina 1493
  • 6 SepLD. La Serena 1501
  • 3 SepLDeportes Limache 1543
  • 30 AugLConcepción 1557
  • 23 AugWU. Catolica 1551

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Universidad de Chile42 /2354.41%99%0%2nd
Nublense32 /2339.30%1%2%10th
Universidad de Chile
Nublense

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

C. Aránguiz
C. Aránguiz

Universidad de Chile · +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1706

M. Plaza
M. Plaza

Nublense · +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1572

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Fernando Rubén Gago

Coach DNA: possession-based

Jose Ribera Juan

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Universidad de Chile: possession-based · creative (how Fernando Rubén Gago plays) · Nublense: balanced profile (how Jose Ribera Juan plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.