Primera División · Regular Season - 25
Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago
Universidad de Chile host Everton de Vina on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Universidad de Chile 50%, draw 27%, Everton de Vina 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Universidad de Chile €733K, Everton de Vina €368K.
- Primera División: G. Castellón is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1901).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Universidad de Chile goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Universidad de Chile 1753 · Everton de Vina 1616
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Universidad de Chile · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1720
Everton de Vina · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1688
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Universidad de Chile
2nd in Primera División · 45 pts from 24
- 12 OctWNublense Chile Primera Division1784
- 13 SepWD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1711
- 6 SepWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1686
- 30 AugLUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1754
- 23 AugLColo Colo Chile Primera Division1763
Everton de Vina
4th in Primera División · 39 pts from 24
- 11 OctWD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1612
- 12 SepWNublense Chile Primera Division1605
- 5 SepLU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1621
- 29 AugWDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1588
- 24 AugWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1565
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | 45 /24 | 55.4 | 2% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Everton de Vina | 39 /24 | 46.9 | 0% | 61% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Universidad de Chile: possession-based · creative (how Fernando Rubén Gago plays) · Everton de Vina: balanced profile (how Walter Darío Ribonetto plays)