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Liga Pro · Championship Group - 2

Universidad Catolica 0–1 Macara

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito

Universidad Catolica crestUniversidad CatolicaTeam 1674
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Macara crestMacaraTeam 1603

Match story

Universidad Catolica · draw · Macara

Before kick-off: 47% · 28% · 25%

Live chances: Universidad Catolica 0%, draw 1%, Macara 99% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 47%, draw 28%, Macara 25%2' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 47%, draw 28%, Macara 25%3' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 46%, draw 28%, Macara 25%4' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 46%, draw 29%, Macara 25%5' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 46%, draw 29%, Macara 25%6' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 46%, draw 29%, Macara 25%7' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 46%, draw 29%, Macara 25%8' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 46%, draw 29%, Macara 25%9' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 46%, draw 29%, Macara 25%10' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 45%, draw 29%, Macara 25%11' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 45%, draw 30%, Macara 25%12' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 45%, draw 30%, Macara 25%13' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 45%, draw 30%, Macara 25%14' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 45%, draw 30%, Macara 25%15' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 45%, draw 30%, Macara 25%16' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 44%, draw 31%, Macara 25%17' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 44%, draw 31%, Macara 25%18' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 44%, draw 31%, Macara 25%19' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 44%, draw 31%, Macara 25%20' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 44%, draw 31%, Macara 25%21' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 44%, draw 31%, Macara 25%22' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 43%, draw 32%, Macara 25%23' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 43%, draw 32%, Macara 25%24' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 43%, draw 32%, Macara 25%25' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 43%, draw 32%, Macara 25%26' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 43%, draw 33%, Macara 25%27' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 42%, draw 33%, Macara 25%28' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 42%, draw 33%, Macara 25%29' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 42%, draw 33%, Macara 25%30' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 42%, draw 34%, Macara 25%31' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 42%, draw 34%, Macara 25%32' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 41%, draw 34%, Macara 25%33' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 41%, draw 34%, Macara 25%34' · 0–0 · Universidad Catolica 41%, draw 35%, Macara 24%35' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 19%, draw 28%, Macara 53%36' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 19%, draw 28%, Macara 53%37' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 19%, draw 28%, Macara 54%38' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 19%, draw 28%, Macara 54%39' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 18%, draw 28%, Macara 54%40' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 18%, draw 28%, Macara 54%41' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 18%, draw 28%, Macara 55%42' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 17%, draw 28%, Macara 55%43' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 17%, draw 28%, Macara 55%44' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 17%, draw 28%, Macara 56%45' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 16%, draw 28%, Macara 56%45+1' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 16%, draw 28%, Macara 56%45+2' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 16%, draw 28%, Macara 57%45+3' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 15%, draw 28%, Macara 57%45+4' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 15%, draw 28%, Macara 57%45+5' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 15%, draw 28%, Macara 57%HT · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 15%, draw 28%, Macara 57%46' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 15%, draw 28%, Macara 57%47' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 15%, draw 28%, Macara 58%48' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 14%, draw 28%, Macara 58%49' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 14%, draw 27%, Macara 58%50' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 14%, draw 27%, Macara 59%51' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 13%, draw 27%, Macara 59%52' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 13%, draw 27%, Macara 60%53' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 13%, draw 27%, Macara 60%54' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 12%, draw 27%, Macara 61%55' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 12%, draw 27%, Macara 61%56' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 11%, draw 27%, Macara 62%57' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 11%, draw 27%, Macara 62%58' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 10%, draw 27%, Macara 63%59' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 10%, draw 26%, Macara 64%60' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 10%, draw 26%, Macara 64%61' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 9%, draw 26%, Macara 65%62' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 9%, draw 26%, Macara 65%63' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 9%, draw 26%, Macara 66%64' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 8%, draw 25%, Macara 66%65' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 8%, draw 25%, Macara 67%66' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 8%, draw 25%, Macara 68%67' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 7%, draw 25%, Macara 68%68' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 7%, draw 24%, Macara 69%69' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 7%, draw 24%, Macara 69%70' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 6%, draw 24%, Macara 70%72' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 6%, draw 23%, Macara 72%73' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 5%, draw 23%, Macara 72%74' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 5%, draw 22%, Macara 73%75' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 5%, draw 22%, Macara 74%76' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 4%, draw 21%, Macara 75%77' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 4%, draw 21%, Macara 75%78' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 4%, draw 20%, Macara 76%79' · 1–1 · Universidad Catolica 20%, draw 66%, Macara 14%80' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 3%, draw 19%, Macara 78%81' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 3%, draw 18%, Macara 79%82' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 2%, draw 18%, Macara 80%83' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 2%, draw 17%, Macara 81%84' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 2%, draw 16%, Macara 82%85' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 2%, draw 15%, Macara 83%86' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 1%, draw 14%, Macara 84%87' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 1%, draw 13%, Macara 85%88' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 1%, draw 12%, Macara 87%89' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 1%, draw 11%, Macara 88%90' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 1%, draw 10%, Macara 89%90+1' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 0%, draw 9%, Macara 91%90+2' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 0%, draw 7%, Macara 92%90+3' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 0%, draw 6%, Macara 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 0%, draw 4%, Macara 96%90+5' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 0%, draw 3%, Macara 97%90+6' · 0–1 · Universidad Catolica 0%, draw 1%, Macara 99%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Universidad Catolica 47% to win: Macara won.

  1. 34'Macara:Franco Posse 1794 +28* assist augustin campana 1751 +37*
  2. 44'Universidad Catolica:Eric David Valencia Reasco 1664 −9*
  3. 45'Universidad Catolica:Jhostin David Mina Herrera for Eric David Valencia Reasco 1664 −9*
  4. 45'Macara:Carlos Caicedo 1353 +20* for Bruss Abadi Coello Moreira 1477 +52*
  5. 45'Universidad Catolica:José Fajardo 1698 −15* for Andrés Rodríguez 1665 −9*
  6. 45+4'Macara:Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno 1632 +15*
  7. 49'Universidad Catolica:José Fajardo 1698 −15* (penalty missed)
  8. 64'Universidad Catolica:Azarias Londono 1768 −11* for Eddy Mejia 1777 −17*
  9. 72'Universidad Catolica:Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda 1673 −13* for Byron Palacios 1631 −11*
  10. 72'Universidad Catolica:Facundo Martinez 1065 −26* for Daniel Clavijo 1752 −16*
  11. 73'Universidad Catolica:Mauro Díaz 1620 −16*
  12. 76'Macara:Luis Loor 1642 −8* for M. Viera 1727 +7*
  13. 76'Macara:Marlon Medranda 1554 −3* for Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno 1632 +15*
  14. 87'Macara:Patricio Andrés Ramos Llerena 1180 −2* for augustin campana 1751 +37*
  15. 88'Universidad Catolica:Azarias Londono 1768 −11*
  16. 90+2'Macara:Luca Agustín Ferro 1336 −7* for Franco Posse 1794 +28*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Lara1720−15*
DG. Anangonó1744−18*
DL. Cangá1731−38*
DC. Medina1689−24*
DE. Valencia1664−9*
MD. Clavijo1752−16*
MJ. Cacciabue1734−37*
MAlex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos1665−9*
MM. Díaz1620−16*
ME. Mejía1777−17*
FB. Palacios1631−11*
CD. Martínez1745−27*
GR. Rodriguez1751+8*
DJ. Bolaños1742+9*
DJ. Jiménez1519+28*
DJ. Marrufo1723+8*
DJ. Mohor1632+15*
MB. Coello1477+52*
MJ. Cazares1688+5*
MA. Campana1751+37*
MM. Tello1724+10*
MM. Viera1727+7*
FF. Posse1794+28*
CG. Sanguinetti1774+19*
Before kick-off: 47% · 28% · 25%(Universidad Catolica · draw · Macara)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Universidad Catolica €604K, Macara €464K.
  • Style contrast in possession (Liga Pro): Universidad Catolica ranked #1 of 16, Macara #14.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Universidad Catolica

2nd in Liga Pro · 51 pts from 30

  • 20 SepLLDU de Quito 1652
  • 15 SepWOrense SC 1638
  • 6 SepWDelfin SC 1642
  • 3 SepDAucas 1632
  • 29 AugDIndependiente del Valle 1636

Macara

3rd in Liga Pro · 51 pts from 30

  • 19 SepWAucas 1672
  • 13 SepWEmelec 1652
  • 5 SepLIndependiente del Valle 1649
  • 2 SepWManta FC 1632
  • 30 AugWOrense SC 1663

Season outlook

From the Liga Pro simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Universidad Catolica51 /3162.80%82%0%3rd
Macara54 /3165.10%91%0%2nd
Universidad Catolica
Macara

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Pro

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Díaz
M. Díaz

Universidad Catolica · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1636

J. Cazares
J. Cazares

Macara · +5.7 (Good) · Elo 1683

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Diego Martinez

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Guillermo Óscar Sanguinetti Giordano

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Universidad Catolica: possession-based · creative (how Diego Martinez plays) · Macara: balanced profile (how Guillermo Óscar Sanguinetti Giordano plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.