Liga Pro · Championship Group - 5
Universidad Catolica vs Aucas
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Universidad Catolica host Aucas on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Universidad Catolica 49%, draw 27%, Aucas 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Universidad Catolica €572K, Aucas €361K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Universidad Catolica goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Universidad Catolica 1679 · Aucas 1588
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Universidad Catolica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.6 (Elite) · Elo 1614
Aucas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1553
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Universidad Catolica
2nd in Liga Pro · 51 pts from 30
- 18 OctDBarcelona SC Ecuador Liga Pro1722
- 11 OctLMacara Ecuador Liga Pro1723
- 20 SepLLDU de Quito Ecuador Liga Pro1652
- 15 SepWOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1638
- 6 SepWDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1642
Aucas
4th in Liga Pro · 50 pts from 30
- 17 OctDLDU de Quito Ecuador Liga Pro1609
- 10 OctLIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1590
- 19 SepLMacara Ecuador Liga Pro1622
- 12 SepDManta FC Ecuador Liga Pro1502
- 7 SepDBarcelona SC Ecuador Liga Pro1635
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 52 /33 | 61.1 | 0% | 73% | 0% | 4th |
| Aucas | 51 /33 | 58.3 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Universidad Catolica: possession-based · creative (how Diego Andrés Martínez Carrera plays) · Aucas: balanced profile (how Norberto Carlos Araujo plays)