Superettan · Regular Season - 27
United Nordic 2–1 Norrby IF
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Sodertalje
United NordicTeam 1287
Norrby IFTeam 1272Match story
United Nordic · draw · Norrby IFBefore kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%
Last reading, 90+4': 96% · 4% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- vidar swendsen 13' (og)
- christian aphrem 61'
- Hugo Tilly 12'
We gave United Nordic 43% to win: they did.
- 12'Hugo Tilly 1124 0 assist kevin liimatainen 1270 −1
Norrby IF:Hugo Tilly 1124 0 assist kevin liimatainen 1270 −1 - vidar swendsen 1293 −2 (own goal)13'
United Nordic:vidar swendsen 1293 −2 (own goal) - 30'
United Nordic: - 60'vidar swendsen 1293 −2
Norrby IF:vidar swendsen 1293 −2 - christian aphrem 1168 +3961'
United Nordic:christian aphrem 1168 +39 - Jonathan gursac 1386 +1964'
United Nordic:Jonathan gursac 1386 +19 - 64'Joel hjalmar 1365 for Julius·Johansson 1379 −10
Norrby IF:Joel hjalmar 1365 for Julius·Johansson 1379 −10 - 65'Ibrahim Adewale 1350 for Karl Jamie Bichis 1318 −5
Norrby IF:Ibrahim Adewale 1350 for Karl Jamie Bichis 1318 −5 - 72'olle backlund 1257 0
Norrby IF:olle backlund 1257 0 - 80'Finlay Neat 753 for charlie axede 1367 −9
Norrby IF:Finlay Neat 753 for charlie axede 1367 −9 - ninos issa 1176 for christian aphrem 1168 +3980'
United Nordic:ninos issa 1176 for christian aphrem 1168 +39 - Carl Lennstrom for Alexander Lindgren 1286 +2880'
United Nordic:Carl Lennstrom for Alexander Lindgren 1286 +28 - liam andersson nesvik 1188 for adi fisic 1170 +3984'
United Nordic:liam andersson nesvik 1188 for adi fisic 1170 +39
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%(United Nordic · draw · Norrby IF)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: United Nordic €161K, Norrby IF €176K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
United Nordic
8th in Superettan · 36 pts from 26
- 10 OctLOddevold Sweden Superettan1254
- 19 SepLLandskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan1365
- 14 SepDOrebro SK Sweden Superettan1334
- 9 SepLIFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan1364
- 4 SepWOsters IF Sweden Superettan1334
Norrby IF
13th in Superettan · 27 pts from 26
- 10 OctWOsters IF Sweden Superettan1273
- 20 SepDHelsingborg Sweden Superettan1265
- 14 SepLVarbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan1269
- 9 SepLLjungskile SK Sweden Superettan1301
- 5 SepLLandskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan1279
Season outlook
From the Superettan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Nordic | 36 /26 | 41.3 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 8th |
| Norrby IF | 27 /26 | 31.3 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

United Nordic · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1563
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.