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Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8

Union St. Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels

Union St. Gilloise crestUnion St. GilloiseTeam 2020
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
OH Leuven crestOH LeuvenTeam 1683

Match story

Union St. Gilloise · draw · OH Leuven

Before kick-off: 69% · 19% · 12%

Live chances: Union St. Gilloise 9%, draw 83%, OH Leuven 8% at 90'1' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 69%, draw 19%, OH Leuven 12%2' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 69%, draw 19%, OH Leuven 12%3' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 69%, draw 19%, OH Leuven 12%4' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 68%, draw 20%, OH Leuven 12%5' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 68%, draw 20%, OH Leuven 12%6' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 68%, draw 20%, OH Leuven 12%7' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 68%, draw 20%, OH Leuven 12%8' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 68%, draw 20%, OH Leuven 12%9' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 67%, draw 20%, OH Leuven 12%10' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 67%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 12%11' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 67%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 12%12' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 67%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 12%13' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 66%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 13%14' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 66%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 13%15' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 66%, draw 22%, OH Leuven 13%16' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 65%, draw 22%, OH Leuven 13%17' · 0–0 · Union St. Gilloise 65%, draw 22%, OH Leuven 13%18' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 46%, draw 25%, OH Leuven 29%19' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 46%, draw 25%, OH Leuven 29%20' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 45%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 29%21' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 45%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 30%22' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 44%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 30%23' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 44%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 30%24' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 43%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 31%25' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 43%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 31%26' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 42%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 31%27' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 42%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 32%28' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 41%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 32%29' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 41%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 32%30' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 40%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 33%31' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 40%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 33%32' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 39%, draw 28%, OH Leuven 34%33' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 38%, draw 28%, OH Leuven 34%34' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 38%, draw 28%, OH Leuven 34%35' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 28%, OH Leuven 35%36' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 28%, OH Leuven 35%37' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 28%, OH Leuven 36%38' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 28%, OH Leuven 36%39' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 29%, OH Leuven 36%40' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 34%, draw 29%, OH Leuven 37%41' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 34%, draw 29%, OH Leuven 37%42' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 33%, draw 29%, OH Leuven 38%43' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 33%, draw 29%, OH Leuven 38%44' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 32%, draw 29%, OH Leuven 39%45' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 31%, draw 29%, OH Leuven 39%45+1' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 31%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 40%HT · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 29%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 41%46' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 29%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 41%47' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 28%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 42%48' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 28%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 42%49' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 27%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 43%50' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 26%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 43%51' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 26%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 44%52' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 25%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 45%53' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 24%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 45%54' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 23%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 46%56' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 22%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 48%57' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 21%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 48%58' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 20%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 49%59' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 19%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 50%60' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 19%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 51%61' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 18%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 51%62' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 17%, draw 31%, OH Leuven 52%63' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 17%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 53%64' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 16%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 54%65' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 15%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 55%66' · 0–1 · Union St. Gilloise 15%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 56%67' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 39%, draw 47%, OH Leuven 14%68' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 38%, draw 48%, OH Leuven 14%69' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 38%, draw 49%, OH Leuven 13%70' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 37%, draw 50%, OH Leuven 13%71' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 36%, draw 51%, OH Leuven 13%72' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 35%, draw 52%, OH Leuven 13%73' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 34%, draw 53%, OH Leuven 13%74' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 33%, draw 54%, OH Leuven 13%75' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 32%, draw 56%, OH Leuven 12%76' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 31%, draw 57%, OH Leuven 12%77' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 30%, draw 58%, OH Leuven 12%78' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 29%, draw 59%, OH Leuven 12%79' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 28%, draw 61%, OH Leuven 11%80' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 27%, draw 62%, OH Leuven 11%81' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 26%, draw 64%, OH Leuven 11%82' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 24%, draw 66%, OH Leuven 10%83' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 23%, draw 67%, OH Leuven 10%84' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 22%, draw 69%, OH Leuven 9%85' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 21%, draw 71%, OH Leuven 9%86' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 19%, draw 72%, OH Leuven 8%87' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 18%, draw 74%, OH Leuven 8%88' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 16%, draw 76%, OH Leuven 7%89' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 15%, draw 79%, OH Leuven 7%90' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 13%, draw 81%, OH Leuven 6%90' · 1–1 · Union St. Gilloise 9%, draw 83%, OH Leuven 8%

Last reading, 90': 9% · 83% · 8%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Union St. Gilloise 69% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 6'OH Leuven:W. Balikwisha 1601 +19*
  2. 17'OH Leuven:D. Opoku 1649 +15* assist W. George 1556 +3*
  3. 42'OH Leuven:J. Lawrence 1686 0*
  4. 43'OH Leuven:O. Gil 1733 +8*
  5. 56'Union St. Gilloise:D. De Roeve 1857 −8* for N. Chibani 1142 −8*
  6. 56'Union St. Gilloise:R. Florucz 2000 −8* for R. Mofokeng 1949 −8*
  7. 66'Union St. Gilloise:D. Opoku 1649 +15* (own goal)
  8. 67'Union St. Gilloise:D. Aquino 1764 −8* for Guilherme Smith 2191 −9*
  9. 67'Union St. Gilloise:A. Ait El Hadj 2319 −11* for D. Olaru 1820 −1
  10. 69'OH Leuven:B. Verstraete 1692 −8* for L. Lakomy 1785 −4*
  11. 72'OH Leuven:C. Ikwuemesi 1714 −6* for R. Mirisola 1659 −1*
  12. 85'OH Leuven:T. Ogiwara 1732 −6* for D. Opoku 1649 +15*
  13. 85'OH Leuven:K. Vaesen 1627 −7* for W. George 1556 +3*
  14. 85'OH Leuven:E. Pletinckx 1719 −7* for S. Schrijvers 1719 +7*
  15. 90'Union St. Gilloise:D. Egel 1259 −8* for M. Sylla 1903 −8*
  16. 90+1'Union St. Gilloise:L. Patris 2220 −14*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-1-4-2Formations3-4-3
GKiany Vroman1575+13*
DJamie Lawrence16860*
DNoë Dussenne1712+4*
DRoggerio Nyakossi1735+9*
MÓscar Gil1733+8*
MWouter George1556+3*
MŁukasz Łakomy1785−4*
MDavis Opoku1649+15*
FWilliam Balikwisha1601+19*
FRobin Mirisola1659−1*
FSiebe Schrijvers1719+7*
CTimmy Simons1738
Before kick-off: 69% · 19% · 12%(Union St. Gilloise · draw · OH Leuven)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 1–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Union St. Gilloise €4.2M, OH Leuven €1.0M.
  • Draw chance was 16%, below the Pro League average of 26% this round.
  • Pro League: A. Zorgane was the highest-rated midfielder (2315).
  • Style contrast in attacking (Pro League): Union St. Gilloise ranked #2 of 18, OH Leuven #16.
  • Union St. Gilloise's expected eleven was in form: average +2.2 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Union St. Gilloise

3rd in Pro League · 19 pts from 7

  • 20 SepWAntwerp 2088
  • 17 SepWPlzen 1978
  • 12 SepWLommel United 2086
  • 5 SepWCharleroi 2080
  • 2 SepWSt. Truiden 2035

OH Leuven

14th in Pro League · 4 pts from 7

  • 19 SepWRAAL La Louvière 1644
  • 12 SepDCercle Brugge 1647
  • 6 SepLSK Beveren 1698
  • 3 SepLGent 1687
  • 29 AugLStandard Liege 1687

Season outlook

From the Jupiler Pro League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Union St. Gilloise19 /773.433%99%0%2nd
OH Leuven4 /733.30%0%40%15th
Union St. Gilloise
OH Leuven

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Jupiler Pro League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Havenaar
N. Havenaar

Union St. Gilloise · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1811

S. Schrijvers
S. Schrijvers

OH Leuven · +3.5 (Elite) · Elo 1712

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

David Hubert

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Timmy Simons

Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Union St. Gilloise: high-pressing (how David Hubert plays) · OH Leuven: direct (how Timmy Simons plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.