Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 11
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels
Union St. Gilloise host Genk on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Union St. Gilloise 53%, draw 26%, Genk 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Union St. Gilloise €6.6M, Genk €3.4M.
- Pro League: A. Zorgane is the highest-rated midfielder (2315).
- Union St. Gilloise's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 over 180 days.
- Genk's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 over 180 days.
- Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Union St. Gilloise goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Union St. Gilloise 2089 · Genk 1924
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Union St. Gilloise · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 1956
Genk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 2107
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Union St. Gilloise
4th in Pro League · 20 pts from 8
- 22 OctWHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Europa League1994
- 15 OctDReal Sociedad UEFA Europa League1992
- 11 OctDOH Leuven Belgium Pro League2001
- 20 SepWAntwerp Belgium Pro League2088
- 17 SepWPlzen UEFA Europa League1978
Genk
7th in Pro League · 12 pts from 8
- 10 OctWKortrijk Belgium Pro League1942
- 20 SepLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1916
- 13 SepDGent Belgium Pro League1913
- 6 SepDAnderlecht Belgium Pro League1919
- 28 AugWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1936
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise | 20 /8 | 71.2 | 19% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
| Genk | 12 /8 | 54.6 | <1% | 23% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Union St. Gilloise: high-pressing (how David Hubert plays) · Genk: possession-based (how J. Thorup plays)