Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe host Velez Sarsfield on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Union Santa Fe 29%, draw 28%, Velez Sarsfield 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Union Santa Fe €499K, Velez Sarsfield €883K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Union Santa Fe goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Union Santa Fe 1604 · Velez Sarsfield 1792
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Union Santa Fe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1545
Velez Sarsfield · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1833
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Union Santa Fe
8th in Liga Profesional · 21 pts from 16
- 20 OctDDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1618
- 10 OctLDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1612
- 3 OctLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1630
- 19 SepLIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1637
- 12 SepLTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1628
Velez Sarsfield
3rd in Liga Profesional · 28 pts from 16
- 17 OctWGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1797
- 12 OctLLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1773
- 5 OctDPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1813
- 21 SepWTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1824
- 11 SepDNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1803
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe | 21 /16 | 24.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18th |
| Velez Sarsfield | 28 /16 | 32.9 | 1% | 22% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Union Santa Fe: balanced profile (how L. Madelón plays) · Velez Sarsfield: balanced profile (how Guillermo Barros Schelotto plays)