Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
Union Santa Fe 0–2 Defensa Y Justicia
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 00:45 UTC · Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz
Union Santa FeTeam 1559
Defensa Y JusticiaTeam 1727- Juan Manuel Gutiérrez 43'
- César Pérez 45'
We gave Defensa Y Justicia 41% to win: they did.
- Joaquin Mosqueira8'
Union Santa Fe:Joaquin Mosqueira - 43'Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
Defensa Y Justicia:Juan Manuel Gutiérrez - 45'César Pérez
Defensa Y Justicia:César Pérez - Joaquin Mosqueira off45'
Union Santa Fe:Joaquin Mosqueira off - 45+4'Jeremías Lucco
Defensa Y Justicia:Jeremías Lucco - 60'César Pérez off
Defensa Y Justicia:César Pérez off - 66'Leandro Fernández
Defensa Y Justicia:Leandro Fernández - Lucas Ayala67'
Union Santa Fe:Lucas Ayala - Mauro Luna Diale off68'
Union Santa Fe:Mauro Luna Diale off - Erik Ramirez off68'
Union Santa Fe:Erik Ramirez off - Julián Palacios71'
Union Santa Fe:Julián Palacios - 73'Jeremías Lucco off
Defensa Y Justicia:Jeremías Lucco off - 74'Leandro Fernández off
Defensa Y Justicia:Leandro Fernández off - 76'Santiago Sosa
Defensa Y Justicia:Santiago Sosa - Marcelo Estigarriba78'
Union Santa Fe:Marcelo Estigarriba - 79'David Barbona off
Defensa Y Justicia:David Barbona off - 79'Juan Manuel Gutiérrez off
Defensa Y Justicia:Juan Manuel Gutiérrez off - Lucas Ayala off81'
Union Santa Fe:Lucas Ayala off - Cristian Tarragona85'
Union Santa Fe:Cristian Tarragona - Tobias Javier Rubio off88'
Union Santa Fe:Tobias Javier Rubio off
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 30% · 30% · 41%(Union Santa Fe · draw · Defensa Y Justicia)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Union Santa Fe €535K, Defensa Y Justicia €976K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Union Santa Fe
8th in Liga Profesional · 21 pts from 16
- 3 OctLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1630
- 19 SepLIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1637
- 12 SepLTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1628
- 8 SepWInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1613
- 28 AugWSarmiento Junin Argentina Liga Profesional1606
Defensa Y Justicia
10th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 3 OctWSan Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional1708
- 18 SepDCentral Cordoba de Santiago Argentina Liga Profesional1742
- 11 SepWGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1712
- 6 SepLLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1748
- 31 AugWPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1719
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe | 21 /16 | 26.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20th |
| Defensa Y Justicia | 19 /16 | 25.6 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Union Santa Fe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1572

Defensa Y Justicia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1888
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Union Santa Fe: balanced profile (how Leonardo Carol Madelón plays) · Defensa Y Justicia: possession-based (how Julio César Vaccari plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.