Primera División · Regular Season - 25
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Municipal Nicolas Chahuan, La Calera
Union La Calera host U. Catolica on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Union La Calera 19%, draw 25%, U. Catolica 56%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Union La Calera €239K, U. Catolica €648K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Primera División matchday 25: 259 points.
- Primera División: J. Valencia is the highest-rated midfielder (1855).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Union La Calera goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 0–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Union La Calera 1494 · U. Catolica 1753
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Union La Calera · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1613
U. Catolica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1717
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Union La Calera
16th in Primera División · 18 pts from 24
- 11 OctDConcepción Chile Primera Division1485
- 14 SepWDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1457
- 6 SepLO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1508
- 31 AugLD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1470
- 22 AugDA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1484
U. Catolica
3rd in Primera División · 42 pts from 23
- 12 SepWPalestino Chile Primera Division1751
- 5 SepWEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1739
- 1 SepWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1728
- 26 AugWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1745
- 23 AugLNublense Chile Primera Division1757
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union La Calera | 18 /24 | 24.2 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
| U. Catolica | 42 /23 | 52.3 | <1% | 98% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Union La Calera: balanced profile (how John Sebastián Armijo Armijo plays) · U. Catolica: balanced profile (how Daniel Óscar Garnero plays)