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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union Berlin crestUnion BerlinTeam 1900
0–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia DortmundTeam 2326

Match story

Union Berlin · draw · Borussia Dortmund

Before kick-off: 14% · 19% · 68%

Live chances: Union Berlin 1%, draw 98%, Borussia Dortmund 1% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 19%, Borussia Dortmund 68%2' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 19%, Borussia Dortmund 67%3' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 19%, Borussia Dortmund 67%4' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 19%, Borussia Dortmund 67%5' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 19%, Borussia Dortmund 67%6' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 19%, Borussia Dortmund 67%7' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 19%, Borussia Dortmund 66%8' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 66%9' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 66%10' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 66%11' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 66%12' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 65%13' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 65%14' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 65%15' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 65%16' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 64%17' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 64%18' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 64%19' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 64%20' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund 63%21' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund 63%22' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund 63%23' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund 63%24' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund 62%25' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 62%26' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 62%27' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 61%28' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 61%29' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 61%31' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund 60%32' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund 60%33' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund 60%34' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund 59%35' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund 59%36' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund 59%37' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund 58%38' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund 58%39' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund 58%40' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund 57%41' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 27%, Borussia Dortmund 57%42' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 27%, Borussia Dortmund 57%43' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 27%, Borussia Dortmund 56%44' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund 56%45' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund 55%45+1' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund 55%45+2' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 29%, Borussia Dortmund 55%45+3' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 29%, Borussia Dortmund 54%45+4' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 29%, Borussia Dortmund 54%45+5' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 29%, Borussia Dortmund 54%45+6' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 29%, Borussia Dortmund 54%45+7' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 29%, Borussia Dortmund 54%45+8' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 29%, Borussia Dortmund 54%HT · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 29%, Borussia Dortmund 54%47' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 30%, Borussia Dortmund 54%48' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 30%, Borussia Dortmund 53%49' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 30%, Borussia Dortmund 53%50' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 31%, Borussia Dortmund 52%51' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 31%, Borussia Dortmund 52%52' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 32%, Borussia Dortmund 51%53' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 33%, Borussia Dortmund 51%54' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 33%, Borussia Dortmund 50%56' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 34%, Borussia Dortmund 49%57' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 35%, Borussia Dortmund 48%58' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 36%, Borussia Dortmund 47%59' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 36%, Borussia Dortmund 47%60' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 37%, Borussia Dortmund 46%61' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 38%, Borussia Dortmund 46%62' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 38%, Borussia Dortmund 45%63' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 39%, Borussia Dortmund 44%64' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 17%, draw 40%, Borussia Dortmund 44%65' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 41%, Borussia Dortmund 43%66' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 42%, Borussia Dortmund 42%67' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 42%, Borussia Dortmund 41%68' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 43%, Borussia Dortmund 41%69' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 44%, Borussia Dortmund 40%71' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 16%, draw 46%, Borussia Dortmund 38%72' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 47%, Borussia Dortmund 37%73' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 48%, Borussia Dortmund 37%74' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 49%, Borussia Dortmund 36%76' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 15%, draw 52%, Borussia Dortmund 34%77' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 53%, Borussia Dortmund 33%78' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 54%, Borussia Dortmund 32%79' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 14%, draw 56%, Borussia Dortmund 31%80' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 13%, draw 57%, Borussia Dortmund 29%81' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 13%, draw 59%, Borussia Dortmund 28%82' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 12%, draw 61%, Borussia Dortmund 27%83' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 12%, draw 62%, Borussia Dortmund 26%84' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 12%, draw 64%, Borussia Dortmund 24%85' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 11%, draw 66%, Borussia Dortmund 23%86' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 10%, draw 68%, Borussia Dortmund 22%87' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 10%, draw 70%, Borussia Dortmund 20%88' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 9%, draw 72%, Borussia Dortmund 19%89' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 8%, draw 75%, Borussia Dortmund 17%90' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 8%, draw 77%, Borussia Dortmund 15%90+1' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 7%, draw 80%, Borussia Dortmund 13%90+2' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 6%, draw 83%, Borussia Dortmund 11%90+3' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 5%, draw 87%, Borussia Dortmund 9%90+4' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 3%, draw 90%, Borussia Dortmund 6%90+5' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 2%, draw 94%, Borussia Dortmund 4%90+6' · 0–0 · Union Berlin 1%, draw 98%, Borussia Dortmund 1%

Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 1%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Borussia Dortmund 68% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 1'Borussia Dortmund:Ethan Nwaneri 2268 0
  2. 7'Borussia Dortmund:Waldemar Anton 2393 −10
  3. 14'Borussia Dortmund:Serhou Guirassy 2420 −6
  4. 33'Union Berlin:Janik Haberer 1852 +8
  5. 35'Union Berlin:Tom Rothe 1985 +10
  6. 45'Union Berlin:Emmanuel Latte Lath 1844 −1* for Kastriot Imeri 1947 +5
  7. 62'Borussia Dortmund:Konstantinos Karetsas 2240 0 for Maximilian Beier 2388 −2
  8. 62'Borussia Dortmund:Fábio Silva 2072 0 for Ethan Nwaneri 2268 0
  9. 63'Union Berlin:Tim Skarke 1740 +12
  10. 70'Union Berlin:Mekhi Gray 1707 −3* for Tim Skarke 1740 +12
  11. 70'Borussia Dortmund:Mathis Albert 1866 −8* for Konstantinos Karetsas 2240 0
  12. 76'Union Berlin:Christopher Trimmel 1698 −6 for Janik Haberer 1852 +8
  13. 76'Union Berlin:Aljoscha Kemlein 2019 +1 for András Schäfer 2133 +12
  14. 90+3'Union Berlin:Linus Güther 1698 −7* for Woo-Yeong Jeong 1977 +10

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations3-4-2-1
GF. Rønnow1957+23
DJ. Haberer1852+8
DT. Rothe1985+10
MA. Schäfer2133+12
MR. Khedira1872+9
MK. Imeri1947+5
FT. Skarke1740+12
GG. Kobel2470−5
DW. Anton2393−10
MJ. Ryerson2434−11
MJ. Bellingham2316−1
MF. Nmecha2438−4
MD. Svensson2409−3
MM. Beier2388−2
FS. Guirassy2420−6
CN. Kovač2389−5
Before kick-off: 14% · 19% · 68%(Union Berlin · draw · Borussia Dortmund)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–2 (9%); the result 0–0 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Union Berlin €4.2M, Borussia Dortmund €34.8M.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Bundesliga matchday 6: 313 points.
  • Bundesliga: G. Kobel was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2475).
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Bundesliga): Union Berlin ranked #18 of 18, Borussia Dortmund #2.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Union Berlin

16th in Bundesliga · 4 pts from 5

  • 10 OctWSV Elversberg 1932
  • 18 SepLBayern München 1906
  • 11 SepLFC Schalke 04 1930
  • 5 SepLBayer Leverkusen 1924
  • 29 AugDEintracht Frankfurt 1914

Borussia Dortmund

2nd in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 5

  • 14 OctLBodo/Glimt 2272
  • 9 OctDWerder Bremen 2364
  • 19 SepWVfB Stuttgart 2361
  • 12 SepWSC Paderborn 07 2306
  • 8 SepWVillarreal 2324

Season outlook

From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Union Berlin4 /535.00%0%40%17th
Borussia Dortmund13 /564.24%82%0%2nd
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

F. Uduokhai
F. Uduokhai

Union Berlin · +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 2079

N. Schlotterbeck
N. Schlotterbeck

Borussia Dortmund · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2399

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mauro Lustrinelli

Coach DNA: shot-heavy · direct

Niko Kovač

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Union Berlin: direct (how Mauro Lustrinelli plays) · Borussia Dortmund: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Niko Kovač plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.