Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 11
União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
União de Leiria host Sporting CP B on Sun 15 Nov 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: União de Leiria 35%, draw 29%, Sporting CP B 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: União de Leiria €591K, Sporting CP B €554K.
- Segunda Liga: Rafael Ferreira Nel is the highest-rated forward (1729).
- Only 0 of Sporting CP B's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. União de Leiria goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: União de Leiria 1534 · Sporting CP B 1617
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
União de Leiria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -3.2 (Below) · Elo 2072
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
União de Leiria
10th in Segunda Liga · 11 pts from 8
- 25 OctDFC Porto B Liga Portugal 21510
- 11 OctLAcademica Liga Portugal 21470
- 13 SepDAmarante Liga Portugal 21463
- 6 SepWPortimonense Liga Portugal 21464
- 28 AugWTondela Liga Portugal 21464
Sporting CP B
2nd in Segunda Liga · 18 pts from 8
- 24 OctWPortimonense Liga Portugal 21558
- 10 OctWVizela Liga Portugal 21629
- 14 SepLLusitânia Lourosa Liga Portugal 21638
- 5 SepWFeirense Liga Portugal 21579
- 30 AugWFarense Liga Portugal 21601
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União de Leiria | 11 /8 | 47.2 | 2% | 16% | 6% | 11th |
| Sporting CP B | 18 /8 | 59.5 | 42% | 81% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –