Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 7
União de Leiria 0–2 Academica
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
União de LeiriaTeam 1528
AcademicaTeam 1389- Leandro Silva 36' (pen)
- Kevin Zohi 49'
We gave União de Leiria 53% to win: Academica won.
- 2'Ricardo Teixeira –
Academica:Ricardo Teixeira – - 36'Leandro Silva – (pen.)
Academica:Leandro Silva – (pen.) - Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva – for Kouassi Eboue –46'
União de Leiria:Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva – for Kouassi Eboue – - Marc Baró – for Hugo Masaki –46'
União de Leiria:Marc Baró – for Hugo Masaki – - 46'Gabriel Miranda Rodrigues – for Ricardo Teixeira –
Academica:Gabriel Miranda Rodrigues – for Ricardo Teixeira – - 49'Kevin Zohi –
Academica:Kevin Zohi – - 54'Alioune Mané for Kaka
Academica:Alioune Mané for Kaka - 60'Marcos Paulo – for Leverton Pierre –
Academica:Marcos Paulo – for Leverton Pierre – - Damien Loppy – for José Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu –66'
União de Leiria:Damien Loppy – for José Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu – - Jair silva da goncalves – for Jose Pedro Barros Goncalves –66'
União de Leiria:Jair silva da goncalves – for Jose Pedro Barros Goncalves – - 67'
Academica: - 69'Hugo Nunes – for Leandro Silva –
Academica:Hugo Nunes – for Leandro Silva – - 69'Rui Gomes – for Kevin Zohi –
Academica:Rui Gomes – for Kevin Zohi – - Miguel Ângelo Moreira de Magalhães –75'
União de Leiria:Miguel Ângelo Moreira de Magalhães – - Samuel Ntanda-Lukisa – for jaiminho –81'
União de Leiria:Samuel Ntanda-Lukisa – for jaiminho – - 85'Afonso Rodrigues –
Academica:Afonso Rodrigues – - Ibrahima Kalil·Guirassy –85'
União de Leiria:Ibrahima Kalil·Guirassy – - 87'Ilies Faure – for Amadou Coundoul –
Academica:Ilies Faure – for Amadou Coundoul –
Before kick-off (provisional): 53% · 26% · 21%(União de Leiria · draw · Academica)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–2 had 3%.
- Average value of the expected XI: União de Leiria €352K, Academica €126K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
União de Leiria
8th in Segunda Liga · 10 pts from 6
- 13 SepDAmarante Liga Portugal 21515
- 6 SepWPortimonense Liga Portugal 21464
- 28 AugWTondela Liga Portugal 21464
- 9 AugLVizela Liga Portugal 21515
- 17 MayDFeirense Liga Portugal 21518
Academica
12th in Segunda Liga · 9 pts from 6
- 11 SepLBenfica B Liga Portugal 21361
- 5 SepLPenafiel Liga Portugal 21305
- 29 AugLLusitânia Lourosa Liga Portugal 21370
- 14 AugWFeirense Liga Portugal 21347
- 8 AugWChaves Liga Portugal 21321
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União de Leiria | 10 /6 | 49.5 | 4% | 25% | 3% | 8th |
| Academica | 9 /6 | 39.5 | <1% | 2% | 36% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Academica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1594
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –