1. Lig · Regular Season - 14
Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Ümraniyespor host Kayserispor on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ümraniyespor 24%, draw 27%, Kayserispor 50%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ümraniyespor €216K, Kayserispor €897K.
- 1. Lig: C. Şen is the highest-rated defender (2020).
- Style contrast in dribbling (1. Lig): Ümraniyespor rank #3 of 20, Kayserispor #20.
- Kayserispor are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ümraniyespor goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Ümraniyespor 1563 · Kayserispor 1835
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ümraniyespor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1538
Kayserispor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1929
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ümraniyespor
15th in 1. Lig · 10 pts from 10
- 18 OctWVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1534
- 9 OctDSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1518
- 18 SepWBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1506
- 12 SepLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1510
- 5 SepLPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1561
Kayserispor
1st in 1. Lig · 26 pts from 11
- 18 OctDBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1842
- 14 OctWAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1764
- 10 OctWManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1857
- 20 SepWMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1854
- 14 SepWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1797
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ümraniyespor | 10 /10 | 40.9 | 0% | 0% | 32% | 17th |
| Kayserispor | 26 /11 | 76.2 | 59% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ümraniyespor: balanced profile (how T. Albayrak plays) · Kayserispor: balanced profile (how Atila Gerin plays)