K League 1 · Regular Season - 33
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Ulsan Hyundai FC host Pohang Steelers on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ulsan Hyundai FC 51%, draw 27%, Pohang Steelers 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ulsan Hyundai FC €522K, Pohang Steelers €293K.
- Ulsan Hyundai FC's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.9 over 180 days.
- Pohang Steelers' expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.2 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Ulsan Hyundai FC's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ulsan Hyundai FC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1666 · Pohang Steelers 1549
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ulsan Hyundai FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1678
Pohang Steelers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1548
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2nd in K League 1 · 50 pts from 32
- 17 OctWBucheon FC 1995 K League 11635
- 11 OctLGwangju FC K League 11671
- 19 SepLFC Anyang K League 11656
- 12 SepWIncheon United K League 11632
- 8 SepWFC Seoul K League 11633
Pohang Steelers
9th in K League 1 · 41 pts from 32
- 18 OctDFC Anyang K League 11541
- 13 OctLJohor Darul Takzim FC AFC Champions League1547
- 9 OctLIncheon United K League 11551
- 20 SepWFC Seoul K League 11497
- 15 SepLBeijing Guoan AFC Champions League1464
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 50 /32 | 51.8 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Pohang Steelers | 41 /32 | 41.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ulsan Hyundai FC: possession-based (how Hyun-Seok Kim plays) · Pohang Steelers: possession-based (how Tae-Ha Park plays)