K League 1 · Championship Group - 34
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Ulsan Hyundai FC host Gangwon FC on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ulsan Hyundai FC 45%, draw 28%, Gangwon FC 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ulsan Hyundai FC €493K, Gangwon FC €409K.
- Ulsan Hyundai FC's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
- Gangwon FC's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ulsan Hyundai FC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1665 · Gangwon FC 1618
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ulsan Hyundai FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1711
Gangwon FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1551
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2nd in K League 1 · 51 pts from 33
- 24 OctDPohang Steelers K League 11660
- 17 OctWBucheon FC 1995 K League 11635
- 11 OctLGwangju FC K League 11671
- 19 SepLFC Anyang K League 11656
- 12 SepWIncheon United K League 11632
Gangwon FC
5th in K League 1 · 48 pts from 33
- 24 OctDFC Seoul K League 11655
- 18 OctDIncheon United K League 11654
- 15 OctLPhnom Penh Crown AFC Cup1432
- 9 OctWBucheon FC 1995 K League 11619
- 27 SepDIncheon United K League 11625
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 51 /33 | 57.5 | 0% | 79% | 0% | 2nd |
| Gangwon FC | 48 /33 | 54.2 | 0% | 43% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ulsan Hyundai FC: possession-based (how Hyun-Seok Kim plays) · Gangwon FC: balanced profile (how Kyung-Ho Chung plays)