K League 1 · Regular Season - 32
Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–1 Bucheon FC 1995
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Ulsan Hyundai FCTeam 1600
Bucheon FC 1995Team 1409Match story
Ulsan Hyundai FC · draw · Bucheon FC 1995Before kick-off: 60% · 21% · 19%
Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Park Jeong-in 15'
We gave Ulsan Hyundai FC 60% to win: they did.
- 15'Park Jeong-in 1493 −6
Bucheon FC 1995:Park Jeong-in 1493 −6 - Erick Farias 1718 +5 for Lee Gyu-sung 1595 +545'
Ulsan Hyundai FC:Erick Farias 1718 +5 for Lee Gyu-sung 1595 +5 - 45+8'Thiago Nascimento dos Santos 1533 −5
Bucheon FC 1995:Thiago Nascimento dos Santos 1533 −5 - Cho Hyun-Taek 1714 +1345+8'
Ulsan Hyundai FC:Cho Hyun-Taek 1714 +13 - 48'Seung-bin Kim 1456 −1
Bucheon FC 1995:Seung-bin Kim 1456 −1 - 53'Kazuki Takahashi 1390 −10*
Bucheon FC 1995:Kazuki Takahashi 1390 −10* - Lee Jin-Hyun 1714 +35 assist Lee Dong-gyeong 1714 +1254'
Ulsan Hyundai FC:Lee Jin-Hyun 1714 +35 assist Lee Dong-gyeong 1714 +12 - 60'Seung-bin Kim 1456 −1
Bucheon FC 1995:Seung-bin Kim 1456 −1 - 65'Jefferson Fernando Isidio 1582 −4 for Kim Min-Jun 1496 −3
Bucheon FC 1995:Jefferson Fernando Isidio 1582 −4 for Kim Min-Jun 1496 −3 - 65'Kim Sang-jun 1312 0 for Park Jeong-in 1493 −6
Bucheon FC 1995:Kim Sang-jun 1312 0 for Park Jeong-in 1493 −6 - Jung Seung-Hyun 1691 +1077'
Ulsan Hyundai FC:Jung Seung-Hyun 1691 +10 - 77'Lee Jae-Won 1211 −8* for Jo Seong-jun 1285 −8
Bucheon FC 1995:Lee Jae-Won 1211 −8* for Jo Seong-jun 1285 −8 - 77'An Tae-hyun 1529 −6 for Thiago Nascimento dos Santos 1533 −5
Bucheon FC 1995:An Tae-hyun 1529 −6 for Thiago Nascimento dos Santos 1533 −5 - Yago Cariello Ribeiro 1678 +4282'
Ulsan Hyundai FC:Yago Cariello Ribeiro 1678 +42 - Yong-Woo Park 1852 −12* for Darijan Bojanić 1628 +1387'
Ulsan Hyundai FC:Yong-Woo Park 1852 −12* for Darijan Bojanić 1628 +13 - Kang Sang-Woo 1572 −10* for Lee Jin-Hyun 1714 +3587'
Ulsan Hyundai FC:Kang Sang-Woo 1572 −10* for Lee Jin-Hyun 1714 +35 - 89'Gustavo 1105 0 for Kazuki Takahashi 1390 −10*
Bucheon FC 1995:Gustavo 1105 0 for Kazuki Takahashi 1390 −10* - Yoon Jong-Gyu 1652 −1 for Choi Seok-hyeon 1633 +1790+2'
Ulsan Hyundai FC:Yoon Jong-Gyu 1652 −1 for Choi Seok-hyeon 1633 +17
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 60% · 21% · 19%(Ulsan Hyundai FC · draw · Bucheon FC 1995)
Our most likely score was 2–1 (9%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Ulsan Hyundai FC €448K, Bucheon FC 1995 €203K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2nd in K League 1 · 47 pts from 31
- 11 OctLGwangju FC K League 11671
- 19 SepLFC Anyang K League 11656
- 12 SepWIncheon United K League 11632
- 8 SepWFC Seoul K League 11633
- 5 SepDJeju United FC K League 11643
Bucheon FC 1995
11th in K League 1 · 32 pts from 31
- 9 OctLGangwon FC K League 11478
- 19 SepLGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11516
- 12 SepDJeju United FC K League 11477
- 8 SepLIncheon United K League 11510
- 5 SepLDaejeon Citizen K League 11496
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 47 /31 | 50.7 | 0% | 93% | 0% | 2nd |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 32 /31 | 34.4 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Ulsan Hyundai FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1702

Bucheon FC 1995 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1457
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.