NB I · Regular Season - 14
Ujpest vs Kisvarda FC
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest
Ujpest host Kisvarda FC on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (NB I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ujpest 53%, draw 26%, Kisvarda FC 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ujpest €582K, Kisvarda FC €353K.
- Style contrast in possession (NB I): Ujpest rank #3 of 10, Kisvarda FC #7.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ujpest goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–011%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 0–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Ujpest 1672 · Kisvarda FC 1503
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ujpest · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1732
Kisvarda FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1516
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ujpest
6th in NB I · 18 pts from 13
- 24 OctLGyori ETO FC NB I1671
- 17 OctLPuskas Academy NB I1722
- 11 OctDBudapest Honved NB I1726
- 20 SepWZalaegerszegi TE NB I1712
- 6 SepDFerencvarosi TC NB I1670
Kisvarda FC
11th in NB I · 12 pts from 13
- 24 OctDZalaegerszegi TE NB I1497
- 18 OctDFerencvarosi TC NB I1493
- 10 OctDVasas NB I1500
- 19 SepLPaks NB I1520
- 5 SepWMTK Budapest NB I1501
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ujpest | 18 /13 | 49.7 | 1% | 46% | 1% | 5th |
| Kisvarda FC | 12 /13 | 34.2 | 0% | 1% | 55% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ujpest: balanced profile (how Zoltán Szélesi plays) · Kisvarda FC: balanced profile (how Attila Supka plays)