Liga MX · Apertura - 17
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
U.N.A.M. - Pumas host Monterrey on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 48%, draw 27%, Monterrey 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: U.N.A.M. - Pumas €4.3M, Monterrey €3.0M.
- All 11 of U.N.A.M. - Pumas' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. U.N.A.M. - Pumas goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 2–08%
- 2–27%
- 1–26%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2006 · Monterrey 1975
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 2004
Monterrey · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 2030
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
11th in Liga MX · 21 pts from 16
- 8 NovDClub America Liga MX2054
- 31 OctWPuebla Liga MX2040
- 25 OctDTigres UANL Liga MX2043
- 22 OctLSantos Laguna Liga MX2050
- 17 OctWAtlante FC Liga MX2035
Monterrey
10th in Liga MX · 21 pts from 15
- 8 NovLToluca Liga MX1986
- 1 NovDClub Tijuana Liga MX1981
- 25 OctLGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX2008
- 22 OctWPuebla Liga MX1984
- 19 OctWCF Pachuca Liga MX1967
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 21 /16 | 22.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12th |
| Monterrey | 21 /15 | 23.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
U.N.A.M. - Pumas: balanced profile (how E. Solari plays) · Monterrey: possession-based (how M. Almeyda plays)