Liga MX · Apertura - 16
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
U.N.A.M. - Pumas host Club America on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 39%, draw 29%, Club America 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: U.N.A.M. - Pumas €4.4M, Club America €6.0M.
- Home advantage makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- All 11 of U.N.A.M. - Pumas' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Club America are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. U.N.A.M. - Pumas goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2005 · Club America 2085
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2178
Club America · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2181
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12th in Liga MX · 16 pts from 13
- 22 OctLSantos Laguna Liga MX2049
- 17 OctWAtlante FC Liga MX2035
- 12 OctDCruz Azul Liga MX2044
- 27 SepLAtletico San Luis Liga MX1930
- 19 SepDAtlas Liga MX2013
Club America
1st in Liga MX · 27 pts from 12
- 22 OctWAtlas Liga MX2064
- 18 OctWLeon Liga MX2047
- 11 OctDMonterrey Liga MX2081
- 28 SepWNecaxa Liga MX1973
- 20 SepDGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX2028
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 /13 | 22.7 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 11th |
| Club America | 27 /12 | 35.5 | 88% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
U.N.A.M. - Pumas: balanced profile (how E. Solari plays) · Club America: balanced profile (how G. Almada plays)