Primera División · Regular Season - 26
U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago
U. Catolica host Universidad de Chile on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: U. Catolica 37%, draw 29%, Universidad de Chile 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: U. Catolica €648K, Universidad de Chile €733K.
- Home advantage makes U. Catolica the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
- Primera División: J. Valencia is the highest-rated midfielder (1855).
- Primera División: G. Castellón is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1901).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Primera División): U. Catolica rank #18 of 19, Universidad de Chile #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. U. Catolica goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: U. Catolica 1753 · Universidad de Chile 1753
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
U. Catolica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1717
Universidad de Chile · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1720
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
U. Catolica
3rd in Primera División · 42 pts from 23
- 12 SepWPalestino Chile Primera Division1751
- 5 SepWEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1739
- 1 SepWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1728
- 26 AugWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1745
- 23 AugLNublense Chile Primera Division1757
Universidad de Chile
2nd in Primera División · 45 pts from 24
- 12 OctWNublense Chile Primera Division1784
- 13 SepWD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1711
- 6 SepWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1686
- 30 AugLUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1754
- 23 AugLColo Colo Chile Primera Division1763
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Catolica | 42 /23 | 52.3 | <1% | 98% | 0% | 3rd |
| Universidad de Chile | 45 /24 | 55.4 | 2% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
U. Catolica: balanced profile (how Daniel Óscar Garnero plays) · Universidad de Chile: possession-based · creative (how Fernando Rubén Gago plays)