Primera División · Regular Season - 24
U. Catolica vs A. Italiano
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago
U. Catolica vs A. Italiano (Primera División) has been postponed.
- Average value of the expected XI: U. Catolica €645K, A. Italiano €506K.
Before kick-off (provisional): 48% · 27% · 24%(U. Catolica · draw · A. Italiano)
Team Elo: U. Catolica 1754 · A. Italiano 1636
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
U. Catolica
2nd in Primera División · 42 pts from 23
- 12 SepWPalestino Chile Primera Division1751
- 5 SepWEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1739
- 1 SepWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1728
- 26 AugWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1745
- 23 AugLNublense Chile Primera Division1757
A. Italiano
11th in Primera División · 28 pts from 23
- 13 SepWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1619
- 5 SepWConcepción Chile Primera Division1606
- 30 AugLColo Colo Chile Primera Division1582
- 22 AugDUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1629
- 16 AugDEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1595
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Catolica | 42 /23 | 54.0 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
| A. Italiano | 28 /23 | 38.1 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
U. Catolica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1717
A. Italiano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1515
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
U. Catolica: balanced profile (how Daniel Óscar Garnero plays) · A. Italiano: direct (how Patricio Andrés Graff plays)