Eredivisie · Regular Season - 13
Twente vs Willem II
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 11:15 UTC · De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Twente host Willem II on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Twente 70%, draw 19%, Willem II 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Twente €4.1M, Willem II €802K.
- Twente's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
- Twente are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Twente goals first.
- 2–09%
- 2–19%
- 1–18%
- 3–08%
- 3–18%
- 1–07%
- Other scores51%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 4.8 pts
Team Elo: Twente 2041 · Willem II 1690
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Twente · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2169
Willem II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1679
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Twente
4th in Eredivisie · 24 pts from 12
- 8 NovDAjax Eredivisie2092
- 5 NovWPafos UEFA Conference League2081
- 1 NovWExcelsior Eredivisie2077
- 25 OctWAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie2031
- 22 OctWLincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Conference League2026
Willem II
18th in Eredivisie · 3 pts from 12
- 6 NovDPEC Zwolle Eredivisie1700
- 31 OctLPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie1689
- 27 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands KNVB Beker1663
- 24 OctLCambuur Eredivisie1709
- 17 OctLSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie1714
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 24 /12 | 63.1 | 3% | 65% | 0% | 4th |
| Willem II | 3 /12 | 24.2 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Twente: balanced profile (how J. van den Brom plays) · Willem II: balanced profile (how Jurgen Streppel plays)