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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9

Twente 1–2 Utrecht

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · De Grolsch Veste, Enschede

Twente crestTwenteTeam 2011
1–2
Full time
HT 1–0
Utrecht crestUtrechtTeam 1821

Match story

Twente · draw · Utrecht

Before kick-off: 58% · 23% · 19%

Live chances: Twente 0%, draw 0%, Utrecht 100% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Twente 58%, draw 23%, Utrecht 19%3' · 0–0 · Twente 58%, draw 23%, Utrecht 19%4' · 0–0 · Twente 58%, draw 23%, Utrecht 19%5' · 0–0 · Twente 58%, draw 23%, Utrecht 19%6' · 0–0 · Twente 57%, draw 23%, Utrecht 19%7' · 0–0 · Twente 57%, draw 23%, Utrecht 19%8' · 0–0 · Twente 57%, draw 23%, Utrecht 20%9' · 0–0 · Twente 57%, draw 23%, Utrecht 20%10' · 0–0 · Twente 57%, draw 24%, Utrecht 20%11' · 0–0 · Twente 57%, draw 24%, Utrecht 20%12' · 0–0 · Twente 56%, draw 24%, Utrecht 20%13' · 0–0 · Twente 56%, draw 24%, Utrecht 20%14' · 0–0 · Twente 56%, draw 24%, Utrecht 20%15' · 0–0 · Twente 56%, draw 24%, Utrecht 20%16' · 0–0 · Twente 56%, draw 25%, Utrecht 20%17' · 0–0 · Twente 55%, draw 25%, Utrecht 20%18' · 0–0 · Twente 55%, draw 25%, Utrecht 20%19' · 0–0 · Twente 55%, draw 25%, Utrecht 20%20' · 0–0 · Twente 55%, draw 25%, Utrecht 20%21' · 0–0 · Twente 54%, draw 25%, Utrecht 20%22' · 0–0 · Twente 54%, draw 26%, Utrecht 20%23' · 0–0 · Twente 54%, draw 26%, Utrecht 20%24' · 0–0 · Twente 54%, draw 26%, Utrecht 20%25' · 0–0 · Twente 54%, draw 26%, Utrecht 20%26' · 0–0 · Twente 53%, draw 26%, Utrecht 20%27' · 0–0 · Twente 53%, draw 26%, Utrecht 20%28' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 15%, Utrecht 7%29' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 15%, Utrecht 7%30' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 15%, Utrecht 7%31' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 15%, Utrecht 7%32' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 15%, Utrecht 7%33' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 15%, Utrecht 7%34' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 7%35' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%36' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%37' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%38' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%39' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%40' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%41' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%42' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%43' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%44' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%45' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%HT · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%46' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%47' · 1–0 · Twente 78%, draw 16%, Utrecht 6%48' · 1–1 · Twente 46%, draw 33%, Utrecht 21%49' · 1–1 · Twente 46%, draw 34%, Utrecht 21%50' · 1–1 · Twente 45%, draw 34%, Utrecht 21%51' · 1–1 · Twente 45%, draw 35%, Utrecht 21%52' · 1–1 · Twente 44%, draw 35%, Utrecht 21%53' · 1–1 · Twente 44%, draw 36%, Utrecht 20%54' · 1–1 · Twente 44%, draw 36%, Utrecht 20%55' · 1–1 · Twente 43%, draw 37%, Utrecht 20%56' · 1–1 · Twente 42%, draw 37%, Utrecht 20%57' · 1–1 · Twente 42%, draw 38%, Utrecht 20%58' · 1–1 · Twente 41%, draw 39%, Utrecht 20%59' · 1–1 · Twente 41%, draw 39%, Utrecht 20%60' · 1–1 · Twente 40%, draw 40%, Utrecht 20%62' · 1–1 · Twente 39%, draw 41%, Utrecht 20%63' · 1–2 · Twente 15%, draw 29%, Utrecht 56%64' · 1–2 · Twente 15%, draw 29%, Utrecht 56%65' · 1–2 · Twente 14%, draw 29%, Utrecht 57%66' · 1–2 · Twente 14%, draw 29%, Utrecht 58%67' · 1–2 · Twente 13%, draw 29%, Utrecht 58%68' · 1–2 · Twente 13%, draw 28%, Utrecht 59%69' · 1–2 · Twente 12%, draw 28%, Utrecht 60%70' · 1–2 · Twente 11%, draw 28%, Utrecht 61%71' · 1–2 · Twente 11%, draw 28%, Utrecht 61%72' · 1–2 · Twente 10%, draw 28%, Utrecht 62%73' · 1–2 · Twente 10%, draw 27%, Utrecht 63%74' · 1–2 · Twente 9%, draw 27%, Utrecht 64%75' · 1–2 · Twente 9%, draw 27%, Utrecht 65%76' · 1–2 · Twente 8%, draw 26%, Utrecht 66%77' · 1–2 · Twente 7%, draw 26%, Utrecht 67%78' · 1–2 · Twente 7%, draw 25%, Utrecht 68%79' · 1–2 · Twente 6%, draw 25%, Utrecht 69%80' · 1–2 · Twente 6%, draw 24%, Utrecht 70%81' · 1–2 · Twente 5%, draw 23%, Utrecht 71%82' · 1–2 · Twente 5%, draw 23%, Utrecht 73%83' · 1–2 · Twente 4%, draw 22%, Utrecht 74%85' · 1–2 · Twente 3%, draw 20%, Utrecht 77%86' · 1–2 · Twente 3%, draw 19%, Utrecht 78%87' · 1–2 · Twente 3%, draw 18%, Utrecht 80%88' · 1–2 · Twente 2%, draw 17%, Utrecht 81%89' · 1–2 · Twente 2%, draw 15%, Utrecht 83%90' · 1–2 · Twente 1%, draw 14%, Utrecht 85%90+1' · 1–2 · Twente 1%, draw 12%, Utrecht 87%90+2' · 1–2 · Twente 1%, draw 10%, Utrecht 89%90+3' · 1–2 · Twente 0%, draw 8%, Utrecht 91%90+4' · 1–2 · Twente 0%, draw 6%, Utrecht 94%90+5' · 1–2 · Twente 0%, draw 4%, Utrecht 96%90+6' · 1–2 · Twente 0%, draw 1%, Utrecht 99%90+7' · 1–2 · Twente 0%, draw 0%, Utrecht 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Twente 58% to win: Utrecht won.

  1. 28'Twente:Daouda Weidmann 1966 0 assist Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard 1945 0
  2. 45'Twente:Marko Pjaca 1944 −3 for Daan Rots 2121 −6
  3. 47'Utrecht:Ángel Alarcón 1899 +52 assist Arthur Zagre 1893 +66
  4. 57'Utrecht:Siebe Horemans 1894 +15
  5. 62'Twente:Thomas Van den Belt 2086 −3 for Robin Propper 2025 −14
  6. 62'Twente:Younes Taha El Idrissi 2001 −1 for Kristian Nokkvi Hlynsson 2115 −7
  7. 63'Utrecht:Ángel Alarcón 1899 +52 assist Arthur Zagre 1893 +66
  8. 64'Utrecht:Nordin Amrabat 1214 0* for Oualid Agougil 1814 +21
  9. 64'Utrecht:Davy Van Den Berg 1818 +6 for Siebe Horemans 1894 +15
  10. 66'Utrecht:Davy Van Den Berg 1818 +6
  11. 72'Utrecht:Adrian Blake 1737 +5 for Yoann Cathline 1974 +12
  12. 72'Utrecht:S. van Duijn 1852 +4 for Ángel Alarcón 1899 +52
  13. 73'Twente:Lucas hesselink of vennegoor 1571 0 for Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard 1945 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-3
GJ. Drommel18750
DB. van Rooij2121−34
DR. Pröpper2025−14
DR. Nijstad2041−6
DA. Adelgaard19450
MR. Zerrouki2120−35
MD. Weidmann19660
MD. Rots2121−6
MK. Hlynsson2115−7
MS. Ørjasæter2080−9
FW. Weghorst1982−7
CJ. van den Brom2097−19
GS. Padt1657+123*
DS. Horemans1894+15
DM. Didden1958+16
DN. Panagiotou1985+16
MN. Vesterlund1922+19
MJ. van Overeem1911+15
MO. Agougil1814+21
MA. Zagré1893+66
FÁngel Alarcón1899+52
FD. de Wit1965+14
FY. Cathline1974+12
CA. Correia1911+39
Before kick-off: 58% · 23% · 19%(Twente · draw · Utrecht)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 1–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Twente €4.2M, Utrecht €1.7M.
  • Twente were without 2 expected starters: L. Unnerstall (2075) and M. Bruns (2055).
  • Twente's expected eleven was in form: average +2.1 over 180 days.
  • Twente were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Twente

4th in Eredivisie · 17 pts from 8

  • 15 OctWFC Thun 2036
  • 10 OctDFortuna Sittard 2033
  • 20 SepWPSV Eindhoven 1981
  • 12 SepWADO Den Haag 1995
  • 9 SepWTelstar 1993

Utrecht

14th in Eredivisie · 8 pts from 8

  • 11 OctWWillem II 1870
  • 20 SepLFeyenoord 1877
  • 13 SepWExcelsior 1859
  • 8 SepDGO Ahead Eagles 1885
  • 30 AugLPSV Eindhoven 1868

Season outlook

From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Twente17 /861.23%44%0%5th
Utrecht8 /844.40%<1%2%8th
Twente
Utrecht

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eredivisie

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

B. van Rooij
B. van Rooij

Twente · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2154

J. van Overeem
J. van Overeem

Utrecht · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1896

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

John Antonius van den Brom

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Anthony Correia

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Twente: balanced profile (how John Antonius van den Brom plays) · Utrecht: balanced profile (how Anthony Correia plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.