Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
TSV Hartberg 4–3 Austria Lustenau
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Profertil Arena, Hartberg
TSV HartbergTeam 1668
Austria LustenauTeam 1529Match story
TSV Hartberg · draw · Austria LustenauBefore kick-off: 53% · 26% · 21%
Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Marco Hoffmann 8', 55', 86'
- Nikolaus Feldhofer 60'
- Albin Gashi 11'
- Dominik Weixelbraun 43', 90+3'
We gave TSV Hartberg 53% to win: they did.
- Marco Hoffmann 1744 +30* assist Angelo Gattermayer 1768 +14*8'
TSV Hartberg:Marco Hoffmann 1744 +30* assist Angelo Gattermayer 1768 +14* - 11'Albin Gashi 1498 −10* assist Danilo Soares 1616 −24*
Austria Lustenau:Albin Gashi 1498 −10* assist Danilo Soares 1616 −24* - 43'Dominik Weixelbraun 1568 −19*
Austria Lustenau:Dominik Weixelbraun 1568 −19* - Marco Hoffmann 1744 +30*55'
TSV Hartberg:Marco Hoffmann 1744 +30* - Tobias Kainz 1734 −9* for Benjamin Markus 1854 −3*59'
TSV Hartberg:Tobias Kainz 1734 −9* for Benjamin Markus 1854 −3* - Andrija Radulovic 1723 +5* for Angelo Gattermayer 1768 +14*59'
TSV Hartberg:Andrija Radulovic 1723 +5* for Angelo Gattermayer 1768 +14* - Nikolaus Feldhofer 1575 +40*60'
TSV Hartberg:Nikolaus Feldhofer 1575 +40* - 69'Alieu Conateh 1389 −8* for Lord Afrifa 1486 −8*
Austria Lustenau:Alieu Conateh 1389 −8* for Lord Afrifa 1486 −8* - 69'Lenn Jastremski 1506 −8* for Antonio Verinac 1272 −8*
Austria Lustenau:Lenn Jastremski 1506 −8* for Antonio Verinac 1272 −8* - 69'Matthias Maak 1405 −13* for Albin Gashi 1498 −10*
Austria Lustenau:Matthias Maak 1405 −13* for Albin Gashi 1498 −10* - 69'Anilson Dourado Santiado 1455 −8* for Danilo Soares 1616 −24*
Austria Lustenau:Anilson Dourado Santiado 1455 −8* for Danilo Soares 1616 −24* - 69'Pius Grabher 1447 −13* for Seydou Diarra 1545 −10*
Austria Lustenau:Pius Grabher 1447 −13* for Seydou Diarra 1545 −10* - Habib Coulibaly 1700 −4* for Manuel Pfeifer 1646 +6*70'
TSV Hartberg:Habib Coulibaly 1700 −4* for Manuel Pfeifer 1646 +6* - Oliver Lukic 1524 −2* for Nikolaus Feldhofer 1575 +40*70'
TSV Hartberg:Oliver Lukic 1524 −2* for Nikolaus Feldhofer 1575 +40* - 72'Pius Grabher 1447 −13*
Austria Lustenau:Pius Grabher 1447 −13* - Marco Hoffmann 1744 +30* assist Andrija Radulovic 1723 +5*86'
TSV Hartberg:Marco Hoffmann 1744 +30* assist Andrija Radulovic 1723 +5* - Lukas Spendlhofer 1727 −12* for Jed Drew 1718 +6*87'
TSV Hartberg:Lukas Spendlhofer 1727 −12* for Jed Drew 1718 +6* - 90+3'Dominik Weixelbraun 1568 −19* assist Dion Kacuri 1536 −6
Austria Lustenau:Dominik Weixelbraun 1568 −19* assist Dion Kacuri 1536 −6
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 21%(TSV Hartberg · draw · Austria Lustenau)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 4–3 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: TSV Hartberg €690K, Austria Lustenau €333K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Bundesliga): TSV Hartberg ranked #12 of 12, Austria Lustenau #2.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
TSV Hartberg
7th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7
- 20 SepDLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1718
- 13 SepDWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1726
- 30 AugWRied Austrian Bundesliga1713
- 22 AugWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1699
- 16 AugLAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1704
Austria Lustenau
8th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7
- 19 SepWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1482
- 13 SepLAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1493
- 28 AugLWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1486
- 22 AugDSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1485
- 15 AugWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1430
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Hartberg | 8 /7 | 28.3 | 0% | 8% | 12% | 5th |
| Austria Lustenau | 8 /7 | 21.8 | 0% | <1% | 60% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

TSV Hartberg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1834
Austria Lustenau · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1542
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
TSV Hartberg: balanced profile (how Markus Schopp plays) · Austria Lustenau: direct (how Markus Mader plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.