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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

TSV Hartberg 4–3 Austria Lustenau

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Profertil Arena, Hartberg

TSV Hartberg crestTSV HartbergTeam 1668
4–3
Full time
HT 1–2
Austria Lustenau crestAustria LustenauTeam 1529

Match story

TSV Hartberg · draw · Austria Lustenau

Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 21%

Live chances: TSV Hartberg 97%, draw 3%, Austria Lustenau 0% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · TSV Hartberg 53%, draw 26%, Austria Lustenau 21%3' · 0–0 · TSV Hartberg 52%, draw 26%, Austria Lustenau 21%4' · 0–0 · TSV Hartberg 52%, draw 26%, Austria Lustenau 21%5' · 0–0 · TSV Hartberg 52%, draw 26%, Austria Lustenau 21%6' · 0–0 · TSV Hartberg 52%, draw 27%, Austria Lustenau 21%7' · 0–0 · TSV Hartberg 52%, draw 27%, Austria Lustenau 21%8' · 0–0 · TSV Hartberg 52%, draw 27%, Austria Lustenau 21%9' · 1–0 · TSV Hartberg 77%, draw 15%, Austria Lustenau 7%10' · 1–0 · TSV Hartberg 77%, draw 16%, Austria Lustenau 7%11' · 1–0 · TSV Hartberg 77%, draw 16%, Austria Lustenau 7%12' · 1–0 · TSV Hartberg 77%, draw 16%, Austria Lustenau 7%13' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 51%, draw 28%, Austria Lustenau 22%14' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 50%, draw 28%, Austria Lustenau 22%15' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 50%, draw 28%, Austria Lustenau 22%16' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 50%, draw 28%, Austria Lustenau 22%17' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 50%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 22%18' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 50%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 22%19' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 49%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 22%20' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 49%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 22%21' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 49%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 22%22' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 49%, draw 30%, Austria Lustenau 22%23' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 49%, draw 30%, Austria Lustenau 22%24' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 48%, draw 30%, Austria Lustenau 22%25' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 48%, draw 30%, Austria Lustenau 22%26' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 48%, draw 31%, Austria Lustenau 22%27' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 48%, draw 31%, Austria Lustenau 22%28' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 47%, draw 31%, Austria Lustenau 22%29' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 47%, draw 31%, Austria Lustenau 22%30' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 47%, draw 31%, Austria Lustenau 22%31' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 47%, draw 32%, Austria Lustenau 22%32' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 46%, draw 32%, Austria Lustenau 22%33' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 46%, draw 32%, Austria Lustenau 22%34' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 46%, draw 33%, Austria Lustenau 22%35' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 46%, draw 33%, Austria Lustenau 22%36' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 45%, draw 33%, Austria Lustenau 22%37' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 45%, draw 34%, Austria Lustenau 22%38' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 45%, draw 34%, Austria Lustenau 21%39' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 44%, draw 34%, Austria Lustenau 21%40' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 44%, draw 35%, Austria Lustenau 21%41' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 44%, draw 35%, Austria Lustenau 21%42' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 43%, draw 35%, Austria Lustenau 21%43' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 43%, draw 36%, Austria Lustenau 21%44' · 1–1 · TSV Hartberg 43%, draw 36%, Austria Lustenau 21%45' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 20%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 52%45+1' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 19%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 52%HT · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 18%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 53%46' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 18%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 53%47' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 18%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 53%48' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 18%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 54%49' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 17%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 54%50' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 17%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 55%51' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 16%, draw 29%, Austria Lustenau 55%52' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 16%, draw 28%, Austria Lustenau 56%54' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 15%, draw 28%, Austria Lustenau 57%55' · 1–2 · TSV Hartberg 14%, draw 28%, Austria Lustenau 58%56' · 2–2 · TSV Hartberg 37%, draw 43%, Austria Lustenau 20%57' · 2–2 · TSV Hartberg 36%, draw 44%, Austria Lustenau 20%58' · 2–2 · TSV Hartberg 36%, draw 45%, Austria Lustenau 20%59' · 2–2 · TSV Hartberg 35%, draw 46%, Austria Lustenau 19%60' · 2–2 · TSV Hartberg 35%, draw 46%, Austria Lustenau 19%61' · 2–2 · TSV Hartberg 34%, draw 47%, Austria Lustenau 19%62' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 81%, draw 16%, Austria Lustenau 3%63' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 81%, draw 16%, Austria Lustenau 3%64' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 81%, draw 16%, Austria Lustenau 3%65' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 81%, draw 16%, Austria Lustenau 3%66' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 82%, draw 16%, Austria Lustenau 3%67' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 82%, draw 15%, Austria Lustenau 3%68' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 82%, draw 15%, Austria Lustenau 3%69' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 82%, draw 15%, Austria Lustenau 2%70' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 83%, draw 15%, Austria Lustenau 2%71' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 83%, draw 15%, Austria Lustenau 2%72' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 83%, draw 15%, Austria Lustenau 2%73' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 84%, draw 14%, Austria Lustenau 2%74' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 84%, draw 14%, Austria Lustenau 2%75' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 84%, draw 14%, Austria Lustenau 2%76' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 85%, draw 13%, Austria Lustenau 2%77' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 85%, draw 13%, Austria Lustenau 2%78' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 86%, draw 13%, Austria Lustenau 1%79' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 86%, draw 12%, Austria Lustenau 1%80' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 87%, draw 12%, Austria Lustenau 1%81' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 87%, draw 12%, Austria Lustenau 1%82' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 88%, draw 11%, Austria Lustenau 1%83' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 88%, draw 11%, Austria Lustenau 1%84' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 89%, draw 10%, Austria Lustenau 1%85' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 89%, draw 10%, Austria Lustenau 1%86' · 3–2 · TSV Hartberg 90%, draw 9%, Austria Lustenau 1%87' · 4–2 · TSV Hartberg 100%, draw 0%, Austria Lustenau 0%88' · 4–2 · TSV Hartberg 100%, draw 0%, Austria Lustenau 0%89' · 4–2 · TSV Hartberg 100%, draw 0%, Austria Lustenau 0%90' · 4–2 · TSV Hartberg 100%, draw 0%, Austria Lustenau 0%90+1' · 4–2 · TSV Hartberg 100%, draw 0%, Austria Lustenau 0%90+2' · 4–2 · TSV Hartberg 100%, draw 0%, Austria Lustenau 0%90+3' · 4–2 · TSV Hartberg 100%, draw 0%, Austria Lustenau 0%90+4' · 4–3 · TSV Hartberg 97%, draw 3%, Austria Lustenau 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave TSV Hartberg 53% to win: they did.

  1. 8'TSV Hartberg:Marco Hoffmann 1744 +30* assist Angelo Gattermayer 1768 +14*
  2. 11'Austria Lustenau:Albin Gashi 1498 −10* assist Danilo Soares 1616 −24*
  3. 43'Austria Lustenau:Dominik Weixelbraun 1568 −19*
  4. 55'TSV Hartberg:Marco Hoffmann 1744 +30*
  5. 59'TSV Hartberg:Tobias Kainz 1734 −9* for Benjamin Markus 1854 −3*
  6. 59'TSV Hartberg:Andrija Radulovic 1723 +5* for Angelo Gattermayer 1768 +14*
  7. 60'TSV Hartberg:Nikolaus Feldhofer 1575 +40*
  8. 69'Austria Lustenau:Alieu Conateh 1389 −8* for Lord Afrifa 1486 −8*
  9. 69'Austria Lustenau:Lenn Jastremski 1506 −8* for Antonio Verinac 1272 −8*
  10. 69'Austria Lustenau:Matthias Maak 1405 −13* for Albin Gashi 1498 −10*
  11. 69'Austria Lustenau:Anilson Dourado Santiado 1455 −8* for Danilo Soares 1616 −24*
  12. 69'Austria Lustenau:Pius Grabher 1447 −13* for Seydou Diarra 1545 −10*
  13. 70'TSV Hartberg:Habib Coulibaly 1700 −4* for Manuel Pfeifer 1646 +6*
  14. 70'TSV Hartberg:Oliver Lukic 1524 −2* for Nikolaus Feldhofer 1575 +40*
  15. 72'Austria Lustenau:Pius Grabher 1447 −13*
  16. 86'TSV Hartberg:Marco Hoffmann 1744 +30* assist Andrija Radulovic 1723 +5*
  17. 87'TSV Hartberg:Lukas Spendlhofer 1727 −12* for Jed Drew 1718 +6*
  18. 90+3'Austria Lustenau:Dominik Weixelbraun 1568 −19* assist Dion Kacuri 1536 −6

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-3-2Formations4-1-4-1
GD. Schierl1562−19*
DF. Gmeiner1563−13*
DR. Voisine1534−10*
DN. Pertlwieser1565−11*
DDanilo Soares1616−24*
MD. Kacuri1536−6
MD. Weixelbraun1568−19*
ML. Afrifa1486−8*
MS. Diarra1545−10*
MA. Gashi1498−10*
FA. Verinac1272−8*
CM. Mader1577−16*
Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 21%(TSV Hartberg · draw · Austria Lustenau)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 4–3 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: TSV Hartberg €690K, Austria Lustenau €333K.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Bundesliga): TSV Hartberg ranked #12 of 12, Austria Lustenau #2.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

TSV Hartberg

7th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7

  • 20 SepDLask Linz 1718
  • 13 SepDWSG Wattens 1726
  • 30 AugWRied 1713
  • 22 AugWSCR Altach 1699
  • 16 AugLAustria Vienna 1704

Austria Lustenau

8th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7

  • 19 SepWSCR Altach 1482
  • 13 SepLAustria Vienna 1493
  • 28 AugLWSG Wattens 1486
  • 22 AugDSturm Graz 1485
  • 15 AugWWolfsberger AC 1430

Season outlook

From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
TSV Hartberg8 /728.30%8%12%5th
Austria Lustenau8 /721.80%<1%60%11th
TSV Hartberg
Austria Lustenau

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Á. Pécsi
Á. Pécsi

TSV Hartberg · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1834

D. Kacuri

Austria Lustenau · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1542

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Markus Schopp

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Markus Mader

Coach DNA: low-volume

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

TSV Hartberg: balanced profile (how Markus Schopp plays) · Austria Lustenau: direct (how Markus Mader plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.