Primera División · Clausura - 12
Trujillanos FC 0–1 Puerto Cabello
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Jose Alberto Perez, Valera
Trujillanos FCTeam 1083
Puerto CabelloTeam 1447We gave Puerto Cabello 59% to win: they did.
- J. Paredes – for D. Linarez –57'
Trujillanos FC:J. Paredes – for D. Linarez – - E. Abreu – for L. Mosquera –57'
Trujillanos FC:E. Abreu – for L. Mosquera – - 59'R. D. Flores Barrios –
Puerto Cabello:R. D. Flores Barrios – - 61'R. D. Flores Barrios – assist R. Rosales –
Puerto Cabello:R. D. Flores Barrios – assist R. Rosales – - M. Granados –69'
Trujillanos FC:M. Granados – - 70'G. Gonzalez –
Puerto Cabello:G. Gonzalez – - 70'D. Osorio – for E. Pernia –
Puerto Cabello:D. Osorio – for E. Pernia – - 71'J. Hernandez – for D. Saggiomo –
Puerto Cabello:J. Hernandez – for D. Saggiomo – - 76'J. Ortuno – for J. Castillo –
Puerto Cabello:J. Ortuno – for J. Castillo – - 77'J. Moreno – for G. Gonzalez –
Puerto Cabello:J. Moreno – for G. Gonzalez – - J. Paredes –82'
Trujillanos FC:J. Paredes – - J. Mendez – for M. Gonzalez –83'
Trujillanos FC:J. Mendez – for M. Gonzalez – - J. Echeverria – for F. Gonzalez –83'
Trujillanos FC:J. Echeverria – for F. Gonzalez – - J. Carmona – for A. Araujo –85'
Trujillanos FC:J. Carmona – for A. Araujo – - 87'P. Lima – for H. Contreras –
Puerto Cabello:P. Lima – for H. Contreras –
Before kick-off (provisional): 17% · 24% · 59%(Trujillanos FC · draw · Puerto Cabello)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Trujillanos FC €125K, Puerto Cabello €245K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera División Clausura - 12: 364 points.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Trujillanos FC
13th in Primera División · 15 pts from 24
- 16 SepLRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1175
- 13 SepWZamora FC Venezuela Primera Division1128
- 6 SepLCaracas FC Venezuela Primera Division1121
- 3 SepLMetropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1028
- 25 AprLDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1041
Puerto Cabello
7th in Primera División · 36 pts from 24
- 15 SepDDeportivo Tachira FC Venezuela Primera Division1440
- 12 SepLCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1410
- 7 SepDUCV Venezuela Primera Division1385
- 3 SepDDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1454
- 7 JunLCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1507
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trujillanos FC | 15 /24 | 16.4 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 13th |
| Puerto Cabello | 36 /24 | 39.8 | 0% | 24% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Puerto Cabello · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1482
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –