Eliteserien · Regular Season - 27
Tromso vs Viking
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Romssa Arena
Tromso host Viking on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Tromso 17%, draw 24%, Viking 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Tromso €689K, Viking €2.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Tromso goals first.
- 1–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 1–37%
- 2–27%
- 0–17%
- Other scores52%
Team Elo: Tromso 1619 · Viking 1919
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tromso · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1685
Viking · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.6 (Elite) · Elo 1969
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tromso
6th in Eliteserien · 40 pts from 26
- 8 NovLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1597
- 1 NovLValerenga Eliteserien1653
- 25 OctLViking Eliteserien1676
- 18 OctDKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1680
- 11 OctDFredrikstad Eliteserien1688
Viking
1st in Eliteserien · 62 pts from 26
- 8 NovWKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1864
- 4 NovWSabah FA UEFA Champions League1930
- 30 OctLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1967
- 25 OctWTromso Eliteserien1950
- 21 OctLAston Villa UEFA Champions League1921
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso | 40 /26 | 45.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 6th |
| Viking | 62 /26 | 70.4 | 34% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tromso: balanced profile (how Jørgen Vik plays) · Viking: balanced profile (how B. Aarsheim plays)