Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24
Tromso 1–1 KFUM Oslo
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Alfheim, Tromso
TromsoTeam 1640KFUM OsloTeam 1515We gave Tromso 49% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 8'Ola Visted 1394 +8KFUM Oslo:Ola Visted 1394 +8
- 38'Daniel Schneider 1561 +5KFUM Oslo:Daniel Schneider 1561 +5
- 56'Robin Rasch 1495 −1 for Martin Tangen Vinjor 1391 +5KFUM Oslo:Robin Rasch 1495 −1 for Martin Tangen Vinjor 1391 +5
- Troy Engseth Nyhammer – assist Alexander Warneryd 1753 −259'Tromso:Troy Engseth Nyhammer – assist Alexander Warneryd 1753 −2
- Troy Engseth Nyhammer –62'Tromso:Troy Engseth Nyhammer –
- Sander Håvik Innvær 1404 065'Tromso:Sander Håvik Innvær 1404 0
- 66'Magnus Grødem 1567 0 for Bjorn Martin Kristensen 1493 +4KFUM Oslo:Magnus Grødem 1567 0 for Bjorn Martin Kristensen 1493 +4
- 66'Tore Andre Soras 1490 −7* for Eirik Saunes 1587 +6KFUM Oslo:Tore Andre Soras 1490 −7* for Eirik Saunes 1587 +6
- 66'Fredrik Tobias Berglie 1578 +9 assist Robin Rasch 1495 −1KFUM Oslo:Fredrik Tobias Berglie 1578 +9 assist Robin Rasch 1495 −1
- Vince Osuji 1561 0 for Casper Oyvann 1645 −8*68'Tromso:Vince Osuji 1561 0 for Casper Oyvann 1645 −8*
- Lars Olden Larsen 1780 −1 for Morten Bjorlo 1750 −468'Tromso:Lars Olden Larsen 1780 −1 for Morten Bjorlo 1750 −4
- Alexander Warneryd 1753 −270'Tromso:Alexander Warneryd 1753 −2
- 74'Brage Skaret 1564 +5*KFUM Oslo:Brage Skaret 1564 +5*
- David Edvardsson 1754 −276'Tromso:David Edvardsson 1754 −2
- Daniel Braut 1414 −8* for Troy Engseth Nyhammer –77'Tromso:Daniel Braut 1414 −8* for Troy Engseth Nyhammer –
- Vegard Erlien 1596 −1 for Heine Asen Larsen 1704 −177'Tromso:Vegard Erlien 1596 −1 for Heine Asen Larsen 1704 −1
- 85'Hakon Rosten 1594 0 for Fredrik Tobias Berglie 1578 +9KFUM Oslo:Hakon Rosten 1594 0 for Fredrik Tobias Berglie 1578 +9
- 85'Rasmus Eggen Vinge 1496 0 for Bilal Njie 1615 +3KFUM Oslo:Rasmus Eggen Vinge 1496 0 for Bilal Njie 1615 +3
- Jesper Andreas Grundt 1434 0 for David Edvardsson 1754 −286'Tromso:Jesper Andreas Grundt 1434 0 for David Edvardsson 1754 −2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 49% · 27% · 24%(Tromso · draw · KFUM Oslo)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Tromso €836K, KFUM Oslo €412K.
- Tromso were without 1 expected starter: L. Hien (1620).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tromso
3rd in Eliteserien · 39 pts from 22
- 11 OctDFredrikstad Eliteserien1697
- 20 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1684
- 12 SepLRosenborg Eliteserien1641
- 6 SepLKristiansund BK Eliteserien1708
- 30 AugDSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1694
KFUM Oslo
10th in Eliteserien · 28 pts from 22
- 12 OctWValerenga Eliteserien1529
- 18 SepWSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1485
- 13 SepWAalesund Eliteserien1474
- 6 SepLMolde Eliteserien1460
- 30 AugLStart Eliteserien1445
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso | 39 /22 | 49.4 | 0% | 64% | 0% | 3rd |
| KFUM Oslo | 28 /22 | 35.8 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tromso · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1756
KFUM Oslo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1616
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tromso: balanced profile (how Jørgen Vik plays) · KFUM Oslo: balanced profile (how Jørgen Isnes plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.