League Two · Regular Season - 10
Tranmere 1–1 Rochdale
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Prenton Park, Wirral
TranmereTeam 1535RochdaleTeam 1507- Tom Conlon 15'
- Dajaune Brown 57'
We gave Tranmere 43% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Tom Conlon 1530 −3 assist Will Vaulks 1655 −515'Tranmere:Tom Conlon 1530 −3 assist Will Vaulks 1655 −5
- 57'Dajaune Brown 1718 +4 assist Charlie Tasker 1710 +4Rochdale:Dajaune Brown 1718 +4 assist Charlie Tasker 1710 +4
- Charlie Veevers 1595 −8* for David Kamara 1543 066'Tranmere:Charlie Veevers 1595 −8* for David Kamara 1543 0
- 68'Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 1112 −3 for Cian Hayes 1741 +1Rochdale:Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 1112 −3 for Cian Hayes 1741 +1
- Joe Ironside 1453 −4 for dylan jones 1102 082'Tranmere:Joe Ironside 1453 −4 for dylan jones 1102 0
- 88'Edward Francis 1652 −1 for K. Taylor 1376 +4Rochdale:Edward Francis 1652 −1 for K. Taylor 1376 +4
- 90+1'Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling 1355 +3Rochdale:Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling 1355 +3
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%(Tranmere · draw · Rochdale)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Tranmere €212K, Rochdale €440K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tranmere
12th in League Two · 11 pts from 9
- 3 OctLChesterfield England League Two1572
- 26 SepDWalsall England League Two1574
- 22 SepWShrewsbury England EFL Trophy1543
- 19 SepDExeter City England League Two1547
- 12 SepLGillingham England League Two1569
Rochdale
11th in League Two · 13 pts from 9
- 6 OctLHuddersfield England EFL Trophy1384
- 3 OctWSwindon Town England League Two1633
- 26 SepWFleetwood Town England League Two1534
- 22 SepDLiverpool U21 England EFL Trophy1334
- 19 SepWOldham England League Two1481
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 11 /9 | 57.7 | <1% | 3% | 12% | 17th |
| Rochdale | 13 /9 | 57.7 | <1% | 3% | 13% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tranmere · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1594
Rochdale · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1660
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.