League Two · Regular Season - 16
Tranmere vs Colchester
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Tranmere host Colchester on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Tranmere 42%, draw 29%, Colchester 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Tranmere €209K, Colchester €215K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Tranmere goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–012%
- 0–010%
- 0–19%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Tranmere 1616 · Colchester 1599
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tranmere · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1673
Colchester · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1680
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tranmere
11th in League Two · 19 pts from 14
- 10 NovDStockport County England EFL Trophy1540
- 7 NovLBarnet England FA Cup1564
- 31 OctWCheltenham England League Two1591
- 24 OctDCrawley Town England League Two1615
- 20 OctWNorthampton England League Two1570
Colchester
23rd in League Two · 12 pts from 13
- 10 NovDIpswich Town U21 England EFL Trophy1545
- 31 OctLWalsall England League Two1566
- 24 OctLNorthampton England League Two1634
- 20 OctDChesterfield England League Two1599
- 17 OctDExeter City England League Two1628
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 19 /14 | 59.8 | <1% | 5% | 8% | 17th |
| Colchester | 12 /13 | 52.8 | 0% | 1% | 35% | 23rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tranmere: balanced profile (how D. Clarke plays) · Colchester: balanced profile (how Danny Cowley plays)