League Two · Regular Season - 11
Tranmere 1–2 Barnet
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Prenton Park, Wirral
TranmereTeam 1531BarnetTeam 1714- Will Vaulks 22'
- Kabongo Tshimanga 55'
- Kabongo Tshimanga 87' (pen)
We gave Barnet 45% to win: they did.
- 20'Zac Williams 1739 +9Barnet:Zac Williams 1739 +9
- Will Vaulks 1650 −5 assist Charlie Jay Whitaker 1594 022'Tranmere:Will Vaulks 1650 −5 assist Charlie Jay Whitaker 1594 0
- 45'Romoney Crichlow-Noble 1835 +7 for Zac Williams 1739 +9Barnet:Romoney Crichlow-Noble 1835 +7 for Zac Williams 1739 +9
- 45'Nnamdi Ofoborh 1775 +21 for Tom Knowles 1649 +12Barnet:Nnamdi Ofoborh 1775 +21 for Tom Knowles 1649 +12
- Joel Senior 1754 −651'Tranmere:Joel Senior 1754 −6
- 55'Kabongo Tshimanga 1870 +28Barnet:Kabongo Tshimanga 1870 +28
- Ryan Watson 1512 −13* for dylan jones 1102 065'Tranmere:Ryan Watson 1512 −13* for dylan jones 1102 0
- 70'Idris Kanu 1789 +12Barnet:Idris Kanu 1789 +12
- Will Vaulks 1650 −571'Tranmere:Will Vaulks 1650 −5
- David Kamara 1543 0 for Charlie Jay Whitaker 1594 075'Tranmere:David Kamara 1543 0 for Charlie Jay Whitaker 1594 0
- B. Faulkner 1551 0 for Tom Conlon 1528 −375'Tranmere:B. Faulkner 1551 0 for Tom Conlon 1528 −3
- 77'Damola Ajayi 1353 +6 for Idris Kanu 1789 +12Barnet:Damola Ajayi 1353 +6 for Idris Kanu 1789 +12
- 84'Myles Kenlock 1579 0 for Nikola Tavares 1801 +13Barnet:Myles Kenlock 1579 0 for Nikola Tavares 1801 +13
- 87'Kabongo Tshimanga 1870 +28 (pen.)Barnet:Kabongo Tshimanga 1870 +28 (pen.)
- Joel Senior 1754 −690+2'Tranmere:Joel Senior 1754 −6
- 90+13'Jake Reeves 1503 −5 for Romoney Crichlow-Noble 1835 +7Barnet:Jake Reeves 1503 −5 for Romoney Crichlow-Noble 1835 +7
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 28% · 28% · 45%(Tranmere · draw · Barnet)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Tranmere €206K, Barnet €321K.
- Barnet were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tranmere
13th in League Two · 12 pts from 10
- 10 OctDRochdale England League Two1552
- 3 OctLChesterfield England League Two1572
- 26 SepDWalsall England League Two1574
- 22 SepWShrewsbury England EFL Trophy1543
- 19 SepDExeter City England League Two1547
Barnet
2nd in League Two · 18 pts from 8
- 10 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1704
- 6 OctDAFC Wimbledon England EFL Trophy1544
- 19 SepWFleetwood Town England League Two1695
- 12 SepWAccrington ST England League Two1678
- 5 SepDChesterfield England League Two1683
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 12 /10 | 56.6 | <1% | 2% | 15% | 21st |
| Barnet | 18 /8 | 75.4 | 13% | 64% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tranmere · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1655
Barnet · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1842
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tranmere: balanced profile (how Darrell James Clarke plays) · Barnet: balanced profile (how Dean Brennan plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.