Süper Lig · Regular Season - 10
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Papara Park, Trabzon
Trabzonspor host Gaziantep FK on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Trabzonspor 73%, draw 17%, Gaziantep FK 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Trabzonspor €6.0M, Gaziantep FK €844K.
- Draw chance 17%, below the Süper Lig average of 26% this round.
- Style contrast in possession (Süper Lig): Trabzonspor rank #1 of 18, Gaziantep FK #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Trabzonspor goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–18%
- 3–18%
- 1–08%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Trabzonspor 2131 · Gaziantep FK 1766
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Trabzonspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2302
Gaziantep FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1716
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Trabzonspor
5th in Süper Lig · 13 pts from 7
- 15 OctWKuPS UEFA Conference League2057
- 10 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig2139
- 19 SepWGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig2060
- 12 SepLKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig2136
- 6 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig2153
Gaziantep FK
14th in Süper Lig · 8 pts from 8
- 18 OctLBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1765
- 11 OctLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1780
- 19 SepLKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1770
- 14 SepDFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1761
- 7 SepWGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1712
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 13 /7 | 62.9 | 5% | 83% | 0% | 4th |
| Gaziantep FK | 8 /8 | 34.0 | 0% | 0% | 51% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Trabzonspor: possession-based (how Thomas Reis plays) · Gaziantep FK: balanced profile (how Orhan Ak plays)