Süper Lig · Regular Season - 12
Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Papara Park, Trabzon
Trabzonspor host Eyüpspor on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Trabzonspor 81%, draw 13%, Eyüpspor 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Trabzonspor €5.9M, Eyüpspor €536K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Süper Lig matchday 12: 491 points.
- Draw chance 13%, below the Süper Lig average of 24% this round.
- Trabzonspor's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Trabzonspor goals first.
- 2–012%
- 3–011%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 4–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Trabzonspor 2161 · Eyüpspor 1670
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Trabzonspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2325
Eyüpspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1697
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Trabzonspor
2nd in Süper Lig · 25 pts from 11
- 8 NovWAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig2169
- 5 NovLSC Freiburg UEFA Conference League2168
- 1 NovWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig2155
- 26 OctWRizespor Turkey Super Lig2189
- 22 OctWHeart Of Midlothian UEFA Conference League2038
Eyüpspor
18th in Süper Lig · 3 pts from 11
- 7 NovLKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1626
- 1 NovLAmed Turkey Super Lig1624
- 24 OctLKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1673
- 17 OctLErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1670
- 12 OctLGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1680
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 25 /11 | 68.6 | 13% | 94% | 0% | 2nd |
| Eyüpspor | 3 /11 | 20.9 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Trabzonspor: possession-based (how Thomas Reis plays) · Eyüpspor: balanced profile (how Mustafa Dalcı plays)