Süper Lig · Regular Season - 8
Trabzonspor 2–0 Beşiktaş
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Papara Park, Trabzon
TrabzonsporTeam 2145
BeşiktaşTeam 2244Match story
Trabzonspor · draw · BeşiktaşBefore kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%
Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Beşiktaş 36% to win: Trabzonspor won.
- O. Tufan 210121'
Trabzonspor:O. Tufan 2101 - 32'F. Miretti 2103
Beşiktaş:F. Miretti 2103 - Fabinho 217733'
Trabzonspor:Fabinho 2177 - 60'E. Topcu 2257
Beşiktaş:E. Topcu 2257 - T. Jabol-Folcarelli 2169 for O. Tufan 210163'
Trabzonspor:T. Jabol-Folcarelli 2169 for O. Tufan 2101 - M. Salah 2296 assist Franculino 213971'
Trabzonspor:M. Salah 2296 assist Franculino 2139 - 77'K. Ouattara 2078 for F. Miretti 2103
Beşiktaş:K. Ouattara 2078 for F. Miretti 2103 - 77'Oh Hyeon-Gyu 2220 for V. Cerny 2203
Beşiktaş:Oh Hyeon-Gyu 2220 for V. Cerny 2203 - 77'I. Fakili 1954 for R. Yilmaz 2201
Beşiktaş:I. Fakili 1954 for R. Yilmaz 2201 - N. Saviolo 1894 for A. Simsir 209781'
Trabzonspor:N. Saviolo 1894 for A. Simsir 2097 - 85'I. Fakili 1954
Beşiktaş:I. Fakili 1954 - 85'W. Ndidi 2163 for J. Olaitan 2258
Beşiktaş:W. Ndidi 2163 for J. Olaitan 2258 - U. Nayir 1841 for Franculino 213988'
Trabzonspor:U. Nayir 1841 for Franculino 2139 - C. Ozkacar 1923 for E. Muci 226589'
Trabzonspor:C. Ozkacar 1923 for E. Muci 2265 - 90'K. Kayra Yilmaz 2033 for S. Ozcan 2193
Beşiktaş:K. Kayra Yilmaz 2033 for S. Ozcan 2193 - 90'K. Ouattara 2078
Beşiktaş:K. Ouattara 2078
Line-ups
Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%(Trabzonspor · draw · Beşiktaş)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Trabzonspor €6.1M, Beşiktaş €8.7M.
- Trabzonspor were without 1 expected starter: M. Kabasakal (1819).
- Beşiktaş were without 1 expected starter: V. Černý (2203).
- Home advantage made Trabzonspor the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
- Süper Lig: L. Trossard was the highest-rated midfielder (2490).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Trabzonspor
5th in Süper Lig · 13 pts from 7
- 15 OctWKuPS UEFA Conference League2057
- 10 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig2139
- 19 SepWGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig2060
- 12 SepLKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig2136
- 6 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig2153
Beşiktaş
4th in Süper Lig · 15 pts from 7
- 15 OctW1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League2200
- 11 OctWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig2242
- 20 SepLAmed Turkey Super Lig2223
- 17 SepWMarseille UEFA Europa League2177
- 11 SepWErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig2216
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 13 /7 | 62.9 | 5% | 83% | 0% | 4th |
| Beşiktaş | 15 /7 | 70.1 | 29% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Trabzonspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2302

Beşiktaş · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2490
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Trabzonspor: possession-based (how Thomas Reis plays) · Beşiktaş: possession-based (how Vincenzo Italiano plays)