Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10
Toulouse vs Strasbourg
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Toulouse host Strasbourg on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Toulouse 28%, draw 28%, Strasbourg 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Toulouse €5.0M, Strasbourg €9.6M.
- Only 1 of Strasbourg's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Toulouse goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Toulouse 1843 · Strasbourg 2016
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Toulouse · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1842
Strasbourg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2072
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Toulouse
11th in Ligue 1 · 9 pts from 7
- 16 OctWLe Mans Ligue 11921
- 10 OctDMonaco Ligue 11837
- 19 SepWLe Havre Ligue 11822
- 12 SepDLorient Ligue 11788
- 3 SepLLille Ligue 11845
Strasbourg
14th in Ligue 1 · 7 pts from 7
- 17 OctLParis Saint Germain Ligue 11975
- 11 OctLNice Ligue 11982
- 19 SepLParis FC Ligue 12086
- 12 SepDMonaco Ligue 12074
- 6 SepWEstac Troyes Ligue 12032
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 9 /7 | 37.1 | 0% | <1% | 15% | 13th |
| Strasbourg | 7 /7 | 47.6 | 0% | 4% | 1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Toulouse: balanced profile (how J. Askou plays) · Strasbourg: balanced profile (how Hugo Oliveira plays)