Premier League · Regular Season - 7
Tottenham 3–1 Coventry
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
TottenhamTeam 2289
CoventryTeam 2084Match story
Tottenham · draw · CoventryBefore kick-off: 59% · 23% · 18%
Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- James Maddison 14'
- Omar Marmoush 58'
- Ben Davies 90+6'
- Jack Rudoni 49'
We gave Tottenham 59% to win: they did.
- James Maddison 2207 assist Mohammed Kudus 232714'
Tottenham:James Maddison 2207 assist Mohammed Kudus 2327 - 20'Caleb Yirenkyi 2023
Coventry:Caleb Yirenkyi 2023 - Dominic Solanke 222422'
Tottenham:Dominic Solanke 2224 - 45'Jay Dasilva 2245
Coventry:Jay Dasilva 2245 - 49'Jack Rudoni 2131 assist Brandon Thomas-Asante 2176
Coventry:Jack Rudoni 2131 assist Brandon Thomas-Asante 2176 - Omar Marmoush 2463 assist Andrew Robertson 226858'
Tottenham:Omar Marmoush 2463 assist Andrew Robertson 2268 - 60'Taiwo Awoniyi 2046 for Sidiki Cherif 1968
Coventry:Taiwo Awoniyi 2046 for Sidiki Cherif 1968 - 60'Frank Onyeka 2153 for Caleb Yirenkyi 2023
Coventry:Frank Onyeka 2153 for Caleb Yirenkyi 2023 - 64'Jack Rudoni 2131
Coventry:Jack Rudoni 2131 - Ben Davies 2064 for Andrew Robertson 226869'
Tottenham:Ben Davies 2064 for Andrew Robertson 2268 - Conor Gallagher 2321 for James Maddison 220769'
Tottenham:Conor Gallagher 2321 for James Maddison 2207 - Mateus Fernandes 2256 for Tosin Adarabioyo 236971'
Tottenham:Mateus Fernandes 2256 for Tosin Adarabioyo 2369 - 78'Ephron Mason-Clark 2152 for Brandon Thomas-Asante 2176
Coventry:Ephron Mason-Clark 2152 for Brandon Thomas-Asante 2176 - 78'Gustavo Hamer 1901 for Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 2097
Coventry:Gustavo Hamer 1901 for Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 2097 - Mathys Tel 2078 for Omar Marmoush 246387'
Tottenham:Mathys Tel 2078 for Omar Marmoush 2463 - Dejan Kulusevski 2350 for Mohammed Kudus 232787'
Tottenham:Dejan Kulusevski 2350 for Mohammed Kudus 2327 - 87'Kaine Kesler-Hayden 1915 for Jack Rudoni 2131
Coventry:Kaine Kesler-Hayden 1915 for Jack Rudoni 2131 - Ben Davies 2064 assist Dominic Solanke 222490+6'
Tottenham:Ben Davies 2064 assist Dominic Solanke 2224
Line-ups
Before kick-off: 59% · 23% · 18%(Tottenham · draw · Coventry)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–1 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Tottenham €25.7M, Coventry €9.1M.
- Tottenham were without 1 expected starter: R. Bentancur (2286).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Premier League): Tottenham ranked #2 of 20, Coventry #17.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tottenham
20th in Premier League · 3 pts from 6
- 10 OctDManchester United Premier League2309
- 19 SepLAston Villa Premier League2340
- 15 SepLLiverpool England League Cup2279
- 12 SepDEverton Premier League2325
- 5 SepDNottingham Forest Premier League2343
Coventry
16th in Premier League · 6 pts from 6
- 12 OctWNewcastle Premier League2074
- 19 SepWNottingham Forest Premier League2026
- 16 SepLAston Villa England League Cup1973
- 13 SepLBrighton Premier League2101
- 5 SepLManchester City Premier League2113
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 3 /6 | 48.1 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 12th |
| Coventry | 6 /6 | 36.2 | 0% | 0% | 58% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Tottenham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2381

Coventry · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 2136
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tottenham: dribble-heavy (how Roberto De Zerbi plays) · Coventry: creative (how Frank James Lampard plays)