Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 10
Torreense vs União de Leiria
Mon 9 Nov 2026 · 20:15 UTC · Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
Torreense host União de Leiria on Mon 9 Nov 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Torreense 46%, draw 28%, União de Leiria 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Torreense €460K, União de Leiria €606K.
- Segunda Liga: Adriel is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1735).
- Style contrast in attacking (Segunda Liga): Torreense rank #11 of 14, União de Leiria #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Torreense goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Torreense 1584 · União de Leiria 1529
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Torreense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1397
União de Leiria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.7 (Below) · Elo 2054
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Torreense
16th in Segunda Liga · 6 pts from 7
- 22 OctLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League1577
- 15 OctLSunderland UEFA Europa League1577
- 10 OctLTondela Liga Portugal 21614
- 17 SepWLillestrom UEFA Europa League1592
- 11 SepDLeixoes Liga Portugal 21554
União de Leiria
9th in Segunda Liga · 10 pts from 7
- 11 OctLAcademica Liga Portugal 21524
- 13 SepDAmarante Liga Portugal 21515
- 6 SepWPortimonense Liga Portugal 21464
- 28 AugWTondela Liga Portugal 21464
- 9 AugLVizela Liga Portugal 21515
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 6 /7 | 47.6 | 2% | 18% | 6% | 8th |
| União de Leiria | 10 /7 | 47.3 | 2% | 17% | 6% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Torreense: balanced profile (how Luís Tralhão plays) · União de Leiria: balanced profile (how Fabio Pereira plays)