Taça de Portugal · Round of 32
Torreense vs Benfica
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 20:45 UTC · Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
Torreense host Benfica on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Taça de Portugal); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Torreense 8%, draw 15%, Benfica 77%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Torreense €589K, Benfica €12.8M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Taça de Portugal Round of 32: 642 points.
- Draw chance 15%, below the Taça de Portugal average of 23% this round.
- Segunda Liga: Adriel is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1719).
- Benfica have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Torreense goals first.
- 0–213%
- 0–311%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 1–37%
- 1–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Torreense 1593 · Benfica 2235
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Torreense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1554
Benfica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2211
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Torreense
13th in Segunda Liga · 10 pts from 10
- 9 NovLUnião de Leiria Liga Portugal 21621
- 5 NovWArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League1586
- 31 OctDPortimonense Liga Portugal 21612
- 26 OctWAmarante Liga Portugal 21601
- 22 OctLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League1562
Benfica
2nd in Primeira Liga · 28 pts from 11
- 8 NovWEstrela Primeira Liga2226
- 5 NovWLech Poznan UEFA Europa League2119
- 2 NovWAlverca Primeira Liga2277
- 26 OctWSanta Clara Primeira Liga2255
- 22 OctWOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League2164
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Torreense: balanced profile (how João Nuno plays) · Benfica: shot-heavy · possession-based (how Marco Silva plays)