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Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 7

Tondela 1–0 Torreense

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela

Tondela crestTondelaTeam 1537
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Torreense crestTorreenseTeam 1596

Match story

Tondela · draw · Torreense

Before kick-off: 34% · 35% · 31%

Live chances: Tondela 100%, draw 0%, Torreense 0% at 90+13'2' · 0–0 · Tondela 34%, draw 35%, Torreense 31%3' · 0–0 · Tondela 34%, draw 35%, Torreense 31%4' · 0–0 · Tondela 34%, draw 35%, Torreense 31%5' · 0–0 · Tondela 34%, draw 35%, Torreense 31%6' · 0–0 · Tondela 34%, draw 35%, Torreense 31%7' · 0–0 · Tondela 34%, draw 36%, Torreense 31%9' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 36%, Torreense 31%10' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 36%, Torreense 31%12' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 36%, Torreense 30%13' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 37%, Torreense 30%14' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 37%, Torreense 30%15' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 37%, Torreense 30%16' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 37%, Torreense 30%17' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 37%, Torreense 30%18' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 38%, Torreense 30%19' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 38%, Torreense 30%20' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 38%, Torreense 30%21' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 38%, Torreense 30%22' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 38%, Torreense 30%23' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 39%, Torreense 29%24' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 39%, Torreense 29%25' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 39%, Torreense 29%27' · 0–0 · Tondela 31%, draw 40%, Torreense 29%28' · 0–0 · Tondela 31%, draw 40%, Torreense 29%29' · 0–0 · Tondela 31%, draw 40%, Torreense 29%30' · 0–0 · Tondela 31%, draw 40%, Torreense 29%31' · 0–0 · Tondela 31%, draw 41%, Torreense 29%32' · 0–0 · Tondela 31%, draw 41%, Torreense 28%33' · 0–0 · Tondela 30%, draw 41%, Torreense 28%34' · 0–0 · Tondela 30%, draw 42%, Torreense 28%35' · 0–0 · Tondela 30%, draw 42%, Torreense 28%36' · 0–0 · Tondela 30%, draw 42%, Torreense 28%37' · 0–0 · Tondela 30%, draw 42%, Torreense 28%38' · 0–0 · Tondela 30%, draw 43%, Torreense 28%39' · 0–0 · Tondela 29%, draw 43%, Torreense 27%40' · 0–0 · Tondela 29%, draw 43%, Torreense 27%41' · 0–0 · Tondela 29%, draw 44%, Torreense 27%42' · 0–0 · Tondela 29%, draw 44%, Torreense 27%43' · 0–0 · Tondela 29%, draw 45%, Torreense 27%44' · 0–0 · Tondela 28%, draw 45%, Torreense 27%45' · 0–0 · Tondela 28%, draw 45%, Torreense 26%45+1' · 0–0 · Tondela 28%, draw 46%, Torreense 26%45+2' · 0–0 · Tondela 28%, draw 46%, Torreense 26%HT · 0–0 · Tondela 28%, draw 47%, Torreense 26%46' · 0–0 · Tondela 27%, draw 47%, Torreense 26%47' · 0–0 · Tondela 27%, draw 47%, Torreense 26%48' · 0–0 · Tondela 27%, draw 48%, Torreense 25%49' · 0–0 · Tondela 27%, draw 48%, Torreense 25%50' · 0–0 · Tondela 26%, draw 49%, Torreense 25%51' · 0–0 · Tondela 26%, draw 49%, Torreense 25%52' · 0–0 · Tondela 26%, draw 50%, Torreense 24%53' · 0–0 · Tondela 26%, draw 50%, Torreense 24%54' · 0–0 · Tondela 25%, draw 51%, Torreense 24%55' · 0–0 · Tondela 25%, draw 52%, Torreense 23%56' · 0–0 · Tondela 25%, draw 52%, Torreense 23%57' · 0–0 · Tondela 35%, draw 51%, Torreense 14%58' · 0–0 · Tondela 34%, draw 52%, Torreense 14%59' · 0–0 · Tondela 34%, draw 52%, Torreense 14%60' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 53%, Torreense 14%61' · 0–0 · Tondela 33%, draw 54%, Torreense 13%62' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 55%, Torreense 13%63' · 0–0 · Tondela 32%, draw 55%, Torreense 13%64' · 0–0 · Tondela 31%, draw 56%, Torreense 13%65' · 0–0 · Tondela 30%, draw 57%, Torreense 13%66' · 0–0 · Tondela 30%, draw 58%, Torreense 13%67' · 0–0 · Tondela 29%, draw 59%, Torreense 12%68' · 0–0 · Tondela 29%, draw 59%, Torreense 12%69' · 0–0 · Tondela 28%, draw 60%, Torreense 12%70' · 0–0 · Tondela 27%, draw 61%, Torreense 12%71' · 0–0 · Tondela 27%, draw 62%, Torreense 11%72' · 0–0 · Tondela 26%, draw 63%, Torreense 11%73' · 0–0 · Tondela 25%, draw 64%, Torreense 11%74' · 0–0 · Tondela 24%, draw 65%, Torreense 11%75' · 0–0 · Tondela 24%, draw 66%, Torreense 10%76' · 0–0 · Tondela 31%, draw 63%, Torreense 6%77' · 0–0 · Tondela 30%, draw 64%, Torreense 6%78' · 0–0 · Tondela 29%, draw 65%, Torreense 6%79' · 0–0 · Tondela 28%, draw 66%, Torreense 6%80' · 0–0 · Tondela 27%, draw 68%, Torreense 6%81' · 0–0 · Tondela 25%, draw 69%, Torreense 5%82' · 0–0 · Tondela 24%, draw 71%, Torreense 5%83' · 0–0 · Tondela 23%, draw 72%, Torreense 5%84' · 0–0 · Tondela 22%, draw 74%, Torreense 5%85' · 0–0 · Tondela 20%, draw 75%, Torreense 4%86' · 0–0 · Tondela 19%, draw 77%, Torreense 4%87' · 0–0 · Tondela 18%, draw 78%, Torreense 4%88' · 0–0 · Tondela 16%, draw 80%, Torreense 4%89' · 0–0 · Tondela 14%, draw 82%, Torreense 3%90' · 0–0 · Tondela 13%, draw 84%, Torreense 3%90+1' · 0–0 · Tondela 11%, draw 86%, Torreense 3%90+2' · 0–0 · Tondela 9%, draw 89%, Torreense 2%90+3' · 0–0 · Tondela 7%, draw 91%, Torreense 2%90+4' · 0–0 · Tondela 5%, draw 93%, Torreense 1%90+5' · 0–0 · Tondela 3%, draw 96%, Torreense 1%90+6' · 0–0 · Tondela 1%, draw 99%, Torreense 0%90+8' · 0–0 · Tondela 0%, draw 100%, Torreense 0%90+10' · 1–0 · Tondela 100%, draw 0%, Torreense 0%90+11' · 1–0 · Tondela 100%, draw 0%, Torreense 0%90+12' · 1–0 · Tondela 100%, draw 0%, Torreense 0%90+13' · 1–0 · Tondela 100%, draw 0%, Torreense 0%

Last reading, 90+13': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Tondela 34% to win: they did.

  1. 22'Tondela:Clebson Cicero 1705 +5*
  2. 31'Tondela:Carraça 1513 +18*
  3. 35'Torreense:João Marques 1705 −17*
  4. 45+2'Torreense:Malik Abubakari 1469 −8*
  5. 56'Torreense:Lucas Paes 1667
  6. 56'Torreense:Adriel 1735 −19*
  7. 60'Tondela:José María Pérez García 1484 +26*
  8. 62'Torreense:Lucas Paes 1667 for L. Quintero 1416 −8*
  9. 62'Tondela:Bebeto 1506 for Carraça 1513 +18*
  10. 72'Torreense:musa drammeh 1547 for Malik Abubakari 1469 −8*
  11. 72'Torreense:Nuha Jatta 1857 for Dany Jean 1701 −8
  12. 73'Tondela:Tiago Dias 1504 for Clebson Cicero 1705 +5*
  13. 74'Tondela:Sphephelo Sithole 1717 for Hugo Félix 1699 +8*
  14. 74'Torreense:Mohamed Ali Diadie 1677 −15*
  15. 78'Torreense:Andre Simões 1363 for Alejandro Alfaro 1698 −16*
  16. 78'Torreense:Ianique Tavares Stopira 1439 for João Marques 1705 −17*
  17. 87'Tondela:Richarllyson Carvalho Alves 1384 for Arjen Van Der Heide 1694 +8*
  18. 87'Tondela:Joao Marcos Lima Candido 1557 for Mateus Ferreira 1564 +19*
  19. 90+4'Tondela:Bebeto 1506
  20. 90+6'Tondela:Richarllyson Carvalho Alves 1384
  21. 90+10'Tondela:Rodrigo Cascavel 1343 +41*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GCarlos1410+34*
DCarraça1513+18*
DChristian Marques1740+4*
DFarru1484+26*
DZé Ricardo1638+12*
MCícero1705+5*
MSarará1564+19*
FA. van der Heide1694+8*
MHugo Félix1699+8*
MCascavel1343+41*
FTómané1565+13*
CRicardo Costa1603+16*
GAdriel1735−19*
DDavid Bruno1591−14*
DVolnei Feltes1613−10*
MM. Diadie1677−15*
DJavi Vázquez1690−16*
MA. Oudrhiri1521−13*
MAlejandro Alfaro1698−16*
FL. Quintero1416−8*
FJoão Marques1705−17*
MD. Jean1701−8
FM. Abubakari1469−8*
CLuís Tralhão1322−8*
Before kick-off: 34% · 35% · 31%(Tondela · draw · Torreense)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 0–0 (17%); the result 1–0 had 13%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Tondela €434K, Torreense €533K.
  • Home advantage made Tondela the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Segunda Liga: Adriel was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1754).
  • Style contrast in discipline (Segunda Liga): Tondela ranked #11 of 14, Torreense #1.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Tondela

11th in Segunda Liga · 9 pts from 6

  • 12 SepWPortimonense 1480
  • 5 SepWFC Porto B 1509
  • 28 AugLUnião de Leiria 1440
  • 16 AugLLeixoes 1537
  • 16 MayLArouca 1697

Torreense

14th in Segunda Liga · 6 pts from 6

  • 17 SepWLillestrom 1592
  • 11 SepDLeixoes 1554
  • 5 SepWBenfica B 1531
  • 29 AugLVizela 1548
  • 9 AugLFarense 1622

Season outlook

From the Segunda Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Tondela9 /649.65%25%3%7th
Torreense6 /650.55%30%2%5th
Tondela
Torreense

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Cícero
Cícero

Tondela · +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1700

João Marques
João Marques

Torreense · +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1722

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ricardo Costa

Coach DNA: –

Luís Miguel Valado Tralhão

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Tondela: balanced profile (how Ricardo Costa plays) · Torreense: balanced profile (how Luís Miguel Valado Tralhão plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.