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Liga MX · Apertura - 11

Tigres UANL 3–2 Toluca

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Estadio Universitario, Monterey

Tigres UANL crestTigres UANLTeam 1899
3–2
Full time
HT 2–1
Toluca crestTolucaTeam 2158
  • Juan Brunetta 6', 60'
  • Guillermo Martinez 37'
  • João Paulo Dias Fernandes 42'
  • Federico Viñas 54'

We gave Toluca 46% to win: Tigres UANL won.

  1. 6'Tigres UANL:Juan Brunetta
  2. 33'Toluca:Alexis Vega
  3. 37'Tigres UANL:Guillermo Martinez
  4. 42'Toluca:João Paulo Dias Fernandes
  5. 43'Toluca:Brian Garcia
  6. 45'Toluca:Érick Gutiérrez off
  7. 45+4'Toluca:Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich
  8. 54'Toluca:Federico Viñas
  9. 60'Tigres UANL:Juan Brunetta
  10. 69'Tigres UANL:Emiliano Gómez off
  11. 69'Tigres UANL:Alan Franco off
  12. 70'Toluca:Alexis Vega off
  13. 71'Toluca:Brian Garcia off
  14. 71'Toluca:Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro off
  15. 77'Tigres UANL:Guillermo Martinez off
  16. 77'Tigres UANL:Diego Lainez off
  17. 89'Tigres UANL:Juan Brunetta off
  18. 90'Toluca:Nicolás Castro off
  19. 90'Tigres UANL:Vladimir Loroña
  20. 90+3'Toluca:Franco Romero
  21. 90+3'Toluca:Andres Pereira

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GN. Guzmán1907+8*
DR. Guerrero1760+28*
DJoaquim2014+7*
DA. Franco1985+4*
DM. Laínez1657+35*
MF. Gorriarán2065+24*
MC. Araújo2019+8*
MD. Lainez2068+19*
MJ. Brunetta2051+28*
ME. Gómez1835+57*
FG. Martínez1966+37*
CM. Vucetich1912+38*
GL. García2096−29*
DB. García2095−20*
DB. Méndez2167−20*
DF. Pereira2184−21*
DJ. Gallardo2183−24*
MF. Romero2178−21*
MÉ. Gutiérrez1954−11*
MHelinho2169−17*
MN. Castro2162−19*
MA. Vega2202−20*
FPaulinho2087−31*
CA. Mohamed2159−29*
Before kick-off: 26% · 28% · 46%(Tigres UANL · draw · Toluca)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–2 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Tigres UANL €3.0M, Toluca €6.4M.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of the Liga MX Apertura - 11: 223 points.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Tigres UANL

15th in Liga MX · 10 pts from 10

  • 27 SepWPuebla 1834
  • 19 SepLFC Juarez 1936
  • 13 SepDMonterrey 1950
  • 6 SepDNecaxa 1929
  • 30 AugDSantos Laguna 1937

Toluca

1st in Liga MX · 20 pts from 10

  • 26 SepDCruz Azul 2132
  • 21 SepLSantos Laguna 2173
  • 16 SepWPuebla 2161
  • 12 SepWAtlas 2126
  • 7 SepWMonterrey 2144

Season outlook

From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Tigres UANL10 /1018.00%<1%36%16th
Toluca20 /1032.845%91%0%1st
Tigres UANL
Toluca

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga MX

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Brunetta
J. Brunetta

Tigres UANL · +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2023

F. Romero
F. Romero

Toluca · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2198

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Víctor Manuel Vucetich Rojas

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Tigres UANL: balanced profile (how Víctor Manuel Vucetich Rojas plays) · Toluca: balanced profile (how Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.