Liga MX · Apertura - 16
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
Tigres UANL host Cruz Azul on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Tigres UANL 30%, draw 29%, Cruz Azul 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Tigres UANL €3.3M, Cruz Azul €5.9M.
- Liga MX: W. Ditta is the highest-rated defender (2226).
- All 11 of Cruz Azul's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Tigres UANL goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Tigres UANL 1924 · Cruz Azul 2123
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tigres UANL · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 2054
Cruz Azul · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2262
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tigres UANL
14th in Liga MX · 14 pts from 13
- 21 OctLLeon Liga MX1913
- 17 OctDGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1944
- 10 OctWToluca Liga MX1915
- 27 SepWPuebla Liga MX1834
- 19 SepLFC Juarez Liga MX1936
Cruz Azul
3rd in Liga MX · 23 pts from 13
- 22 OctWCF Pachuca Liga MX2068
- 18 OctWFC Juarez Liga MX2014
- 12 OctDU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX2143
- 26 SepDToluca Liga MX2132
- 20 SepLMonterrey Liga MX2207
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL | 14 /13 | 18.5 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 15th |
| Cruz Azul | 23 /13 | 29.6 | 4% | 70% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tigres UANL: balanced profile (how M. Vucetich plays) · Cruz Azul: balanced profile (how Joel Huiqui plays)