Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Tigre host Sarmiento Junin on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Tigre 46%, draw 28%, Sarmiento Junin 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Tigre €978K, Sarmiento Junin €554K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Tigre goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Tigre 1683 · Sarmiento Junin 1645
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tigre · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.3 (Good) · Elo 1730
Sarmiento Junin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1699
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tigre
10th in Liga Profesional · 20 pts from 16
- 24 OctLAtletico Tucuman Argentina Liga Profesional1718
- 17 OctDIndepend. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional1690
- 10 OctLBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1725
- 4 OctLArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1740
- 21 SepLVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1736
Sarmiento Junin
11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 23 OctLGimnasia L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1682
- 19 OctDBarracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional1669
- 14 OctDRiver Plate Argentina Liga Profesional1670
- 9 OctWAldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional1630
- 19 SepLRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1676
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre | 20 /16 | 22.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19th |
| Sarmiento Junin | 19 /16 | 21.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tigre: balanced profile (how D. Dabove plays) · Sarmiento Junin: direct (how Facundo Sava plays)